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Panthers at Red Wings
NHL

Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸3
Detroit Red Wings
1
FinalTV NHLN, FDSNDET·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Tkachuk's goal at 0:35 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 50% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 4.5 to 2.4; shots on goal were FLA 23, DET 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 3.5 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Matthew Tkachuk (3 G), 2. Sergei Bobrovsky (28 saves, .966), 3. Alex DeBrincat (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk3 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky28 saves, .966
  3. ★★★
    DET
    A. DeBrincat1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA1604213323
DETDET08110011129

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(6)
    C. Verhaeghe (27)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:06

2nd period

  1. DET
    A. DeBrincat(33)PPG
    P. Kane (25), D. Larkin (27)
    batxG 0.28win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:56

3rd period

  1. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(7)PPG
    S. Reinhart (31), B. Marchand (27)
    tip-inxG 0.22win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-1
    0:35
  2. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(8)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.44win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:08

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·DET 6 PIM

1st

  • 19:10FLACarter Verhaeghe · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

2nd

  • 2:02DETPatrick Kane · Trippingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 9:58FLAAnton Lundell · Interferencedrawn by Simon Edvinsson2 min
  • 10:28FLAGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 19:01DETJacob Bernard-Docker · Hookingdrawn by Uvis Balinskis2 min

3rd

  • 0:51DETSimon Edvinsson · Trippingdrawn by Jesper Boqvist2 min
  • 14:39FLAserved by M. Samoskevich · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalFLA goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Matthew Tkachuk, 3rd 0:35 — FLA 50% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.49P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.32A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.29E. Finnie · On goal · xG 0.23L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.22E. Finnie · On goal · xG 0.20P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.17L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.14D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.13D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.13D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.13D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.12P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.12D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.11A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.11M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.10A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.10J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.10P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.08L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.08A. Sandin-Pellikka · On goal · xG 0.08M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.07M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.07D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.07D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.07P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.07A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.07B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.06E. Finnie · Missed · xG 0.06A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.05P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04E. Finnie · On goal · xG 0.04L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.03A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.03M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.03A. Sandin-Pellikka · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.03M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.02S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.02M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.01L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.00L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.00
DET1 G · 4.5 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsDET
2.42 G
All situations
1 G4.5
1.31 G
Even strength
0 G3.0
0.71 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA15%85%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.94 – 4.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsDET
23
Shots on goal
29
32%
Faceoffs
68%
1/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
29
Hits
11
17
Blocked shots
10
14
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000+210.00130—25:37
42G. ForslingD000+200.01032—23:04
77N. MikkolaD000030.09430—22:54
19M. TkachukL303+240.83110—19:35
13S. ReinhartC011010.11000019:32
17E. RodriguesC000020.290005019:31
15A. LundellC000030.212024519:30
9S. BennettC000+210.171003518:45
23C. VerhaegheC011+220.29002017:19
26U. BalinskisD000000.00210—16:51
7D. KulikovD000000.00310—15:12
92T. NosekL000010.015201112:08
63B. MarchandL011010.00000—11:53
27E. LuostarinenC000000.000103311:37
6D. SebrangoD000030.07310—11:18
10A. GreerL000000.00300—09:57
11M. SamoskevichR000010.32100—09:44
70J. BoqvistC000000.00310008:35
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)29281.9664.54+3.5460:00

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).