Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Florida Panthers beat the Detroit Red Wings 8-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Luke Kunin's goal at 5:37 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals were close — DET 2.6, FLA 2.7; shots on goal were DET 26, FLA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. John Gibson stopped 11 of 15 (.733), 2.9 goals below expected; Daniil Tarasov stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mike Benning (2 G), 2. Luke Kunin (2 G, 1 A), 3. Marek Alscher (2 A).
Three stars
- ★M. Benning2 G

- ★★L. Kunin2 G, 1 A

- ★★★M. Alscher2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
0-14:57
2nd period
0-25:37
0-38:56
0-49:39
0-512:41
1-516:12
3rd period
1-68:56
1-79:37
1-818:12
Penalties
1st
- 14:11
Cole Reinhardt · Hookingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
2nd
- 8:33
J.T. Compher · Hookingdrawn by Marek Alscher2 min
3rd
- 1:19
Matthew Tkachuk · Trippingdrawn by David Perron2 min
- 11:45
Vinnie Hinostroza · Slashingdrawn by Albert Johansson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Luke Kunin, 2nd 5:37 — 70% → 85%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.61 G
- All situations
- 8 G2.7
- 1.81 G
- Even strength
- 7 G2.5
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 2.62
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 26
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 59%
- Faceoffs
- 41%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 17
- Hits
- 10
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 20
- Giveaways
- 12
- 4
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
