Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the San Jose Sharks 4-1. The Sharks scored first; the Flames answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Zary's goal at 5:22 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 48% to 76%. Expected goals were close — CGY 3.1, SJS 3.0; shots on goal were CGY 29, SJS 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Yaroslav Askarov stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dustin Wolf (34 saves, .971), 2. Nazem Kadri (2 G), 3. Connor Zary (1 G, 1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
0-11:17
1-115:02
3rd period
2-15:22
3-111:56
4-117:30
Penalties
1st
- 8:10
Blake Coleman · Holdingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
- 10:19
Sam Dickinson · Holdingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
2nd
- 4:38
Mario Ferraro · High stickingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min
- 7:31
Kiefer Sherwood · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Bahl2 min
- 8:55
Morgan Frost · Interferencedrawn by William Eklund2 min
- 17:23
served by C. Zary · Too many men on the ice2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Connor Zary, 3rd 5:22 — 48% → 76%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.13 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.0
- 1.83 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.0
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.9
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 2.98
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 35
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 16
- Hits
- 33
- 23
- Blocked shots
- 7
- 21
- Giveaways
- 16
- 3
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















