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Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, SN1·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the San Jose Sharks 4-1. The Sharks scored first; the Flames answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Zary's goal at 5:22 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 48% to 76%. Expected goals were close — CGY 3.1, SJS 3.0; shots on goal were CGY 29, SJS 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Yaroslav Askarov stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dustin Wolf (34 saves, .971), 2. Nazem Kadri (2 G), 3. Connor Zary (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    D. Wolf34 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    CGY
    N. Kadri2 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    C. Zary1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY06110313429
SJSSJS01611207135

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:17
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.08win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:02

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.06win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-1
    5:22
  2. CGY
    C. Zary (13)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-1
    11:56
  3. CGY
    wristxG 0.46win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    17:30

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:10CGYBlake Coleman · Holdingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 10:19SJSSam Dickinson · Holdingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min

2nd

  • 4:38SJSMario Ferraro · High stickingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min
  • 7:31SJSKiefer Sherwood · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Bahl2 min
  • 8:55CGYMorgan Frost · Interferencedrawn by William Eklund2 min
  • 17:23CGYserved by C. Zary · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCGY goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Connor Zary, 3rd 5:22 — CGY 48% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.39M. Misa · Missed · xG 0.18A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.16A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.16P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.15M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.13W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.12C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.12M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.12K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.10C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.10K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.10J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.10K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.09W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.08C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.08T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.08K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.07K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.06W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.05M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.05C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.04K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.03M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.03W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.02W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.02S. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.01W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.00T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.00A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.00K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS1 G · 3.0 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsSJS
3.13 G
All situations
1 G3.0
1.83 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY35%65%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 2.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsSJS
29
Shots on goal
35
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
33
23
Blocked shots
7
21
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28Z. WhitecloudD011+100.14030—24:45
7K. BahlD000+200.00230—24:44
52M. WeegarD011+110.01150—20:53
37Y. KuznetsovD011010.04030—20:03
86J. FarabeeL011+210.08010—19:46
11M. BacklundC112+250.770104718:57
91N. KadriC202+250.421004218:54
47C. ZaryC112+340.4700010017:34
17Y. SharangovichC000020.05010016:51
27M. CoronatoR011+120.160107515:56
20B. ColemanL000030.56202—14:11
92M. GridinR000-110.09030—13:54
19Z. ParekhD000+100.00000—13:39
16M. FrostC000-100.000026713:33
44J. HanleyD000+100.00120—11:09
18J. BeecherC000010.062004010:37
43A. KlapkaR000+120.22600—10:33
76M. PospisilC000010.01100008:01
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(W)35341.9713.04+2.0460:00

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).