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San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames

FinalTV NBCSCA, SN·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2. The Sharks scored first; the Flames answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Farabee's goal at 6:53 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 46% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.8 to 3.5; shots on goal were SJS 25, CGY 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 39 of 42 (.929), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Morgan Frost (1 G, 1 A), 2. Matvei Gridin (1 G), 3. Joel Farabee (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Frost1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Gridin1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    J. Farabee1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS1111608225
CGYCGY115117110342

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    W. Smith(16)PPG
    snapxG 0.20win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:11
  2. CGY
    M. Frost(12)PPG
    snapxG 0.41win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:44

2nd period

  1. SJS
    W. Eklund (23), M. Misa (6)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:21
  2. CGY
    M. Frost (15), M. Weegar (14)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:59

3rd period

  1. CGY
    J. Farabee(11)SHG
    M. Backlund (21), K. Bahl (10)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +29 ptsVideo
    2-3
    6:53

Penalties

SJS 24 PIM·CGY 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:38CGYBrayden Pachal · Interferencedrawn by William Eklund2 min
  • 12:55SJSJohn Klingberg · High stickingdrawn by Connor Zary2 min
  • 14:18SJSZack Ostapchuk · Trippingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min
  • 18:53CGYMartin Pospisil · Boardingdrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min
  • 18:53CGYRyan Lomberg · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min
  • 18:53SJSVincent Desharnais · Roughingdrawn by Martin Pospisil2 min

2nd

  • 12:38SJSDmitry Orlov · Hookingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min
  • 19:00SJSMario Ferraro · Trippingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min

3rd

  • 4:46SJSZack Ostapchuk · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Bahl2 min
  • 4:46SJSBarclay Goodrow · Misconduct10 min
  • 6:38CGYNazem Kadri · Slashingdrawn by Shakir Mukhamadullin2 min
  • 12:34CGYZach Whitecloud · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
  • 17:19SJSserved by Michael Misa · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalSJS goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Joel Farabee, 3rd 6:53 — CGY 46% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Frost · Goal · xG 0.41M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.41N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.29M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.24Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.23M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.20J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.17M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.17M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.16N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.16M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.15Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.14C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.14A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.13M. Gridin · Goal · xG 0.12M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.11J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.11J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.10J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.10J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.09M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.09M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.08Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.05M. Gridin · On goal · xG 0.05M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.03Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.03M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.03M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.02M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pachal · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.01M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Gridin · Missed · xG 0.00M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.00A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.00M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 4.8 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCGY
3.52 G
All situations
3 G4.8
2.01 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
1.51 G
Power play
1 G1.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS38%62%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.47 – 4.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCGY
25
Shots on goal
42
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/4
Power play
1/6
24
Penalty minutes
10
14
Hits
21
19
Blocked shots
18
18
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
21A. WennbergC011-120.671104124:30
71M. CelebriniC000-150.552004723:40
38M. FerraroD000020.05132—19:37
3J. KlingbergD000-220.09012—19:36
6S. DickinsonD000+100.00020—19:24
51C. GrafR000010.06000—19:09
2W. SmithC101-150.721106719:03
5V. DesharnaisD000000.00102—19:01
73T. ToffoliC000020.54020018:08
9D. OrlovD000010.00102—16:33
85S. MukhamadullinD000010.02150—15:02
72W. EklundL011010.15110—14:35
96P. KurashevC000000.14120013:33
63Z. OstapchukC000-100.001047511:38
23B. GoodrowC000000.011110010:23
81A. GaudetteR101020.49000—10:09
77M. MisaC011010.060002010:02
75R. ReavesR000000.00200—06:33
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Nedeljkovic(L)42393.9294.38+1.3857:38

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).