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Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, SN·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Calgary Flames 6-3. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Macklin Celebrini's goal at 2:46 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 77% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 4.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were CGY 30, SJS 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 1.9 goals below expected; Yaroslav Askarov stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Macklin Celebrini (2 G, 2 A), 2. Barclay Goodrow (2 G, 1 A), 3. Tyler Toffoli (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    M. Celebrini2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    B. Goodrow2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    T. Toffoli1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY2908113330
SJSSJS3907310626

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:02
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:00
  3. CGY
    slapxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:01
  4. CGY
    snapxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    14:23
  5. SJS
    pokexG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:41

3rd period

  1. SJS
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    2:46
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.07win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-5
    12:53
  3. CGY
    wristxG 0.06win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-5
    13:31
  4. SJS
    wristxG 0.94Video
    3-6
    18:50

Penalties

CGY 2 PIM·SJS 4 PIM

2nd

  • 0:32SJSTimothy Liljegren · Cross checkingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 16:14SJSWilliam Eklund · Trippingdrawn by Joel Hanley2 min

3rd

  • 9:38CGYRasmus Andersson · Trippingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCGY goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Macklin Celebrini, 3rd 2:46 — SJS 77% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.94J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.27M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.19C. Graf · Missed · xG 0.19M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.18B. Goodrow · Goal · xG 0.17J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.16B. Goodrow · Goal · xG 0.14T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.13T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.12M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.11T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.10J. Klingberg · Goal · xG 0.09M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Ostapchuk · On goal · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.08W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.07A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.07M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.07M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.07R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.07I. Chernyshov · Missed · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.06I. Chernyshov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.05T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.05C. Graf · Missed · xG 0.05E. Cardwell · Missed · xG 0.03M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.03C. Graf · Missed · xG 0.03W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.02V. Iorio · Missed · xG 0.02V. Iorio · On goal · xG 0.02C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.01W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.01A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.00T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.00A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS6 G · 4.1 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsSJS
1.93 G
All situations
5 G4.1
1.73 G
Even strength
5 G2.8
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY29%71%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsSJS
30
Shots on goal
26
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
24
12
Blocked shots
25
16
Giveaways
22
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD011+130.03230—24:53
4R. AnderssonD000-350.27002—23:26
37Y. KuznetsovD000+210.05310—20:41
91N. KadriC101-120.171003820:34
17Y. SharangovichC000-200.00000019:18
20B. ColemanL101040.53500—18:47
7K. BahlD000-410.03010—18:14
11M. BacklundC000030.080005517:50
10J. HuberdeauL011-120.18000—17:04
47C. ZaryC011-100.080005016:12
16M. FrostC000-220.051005815:58
86J. FarabeeL000-110.12210—15:55
48H. BrzustewiczD000010.00000—15:24
43A. KlapkaR011-120.13620—14:42
44J. HanleyD000-100.00030—11:55
27M. CoronatoR000-100.000002510:26
70R. LombergL101020.15200—09:26
18J. BeecherC000-110.012102509:24
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(L)25205.8003.12-1.8857:51

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).