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San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames

FinalTV NBCSCA, SN1·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the San Jose Sharks 2-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Coleman's goal at 5:46 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.8 to 1.6; shots on goal were SJS 17, CGY 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Yaroslav Askarov stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 17 of 17 (1.000), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dustin Wolf (17 saves, 1.000), 2. Yaroslav Askarov (34 saves, .971), 3. Blake Coleman (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    D. Wolf17 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    SJS
    Y. Askarov34 saves, .971
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    B. Coleman1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS0106010017
CGYCGY01311419236

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:46

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.54win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:55

Penalties

SJS 6 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:58SJSVincent Desharnais · Holdingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min

2nd

  • 1:09CGYMatt Coronato · Trippingdrawn by William Eklund2 min
  • 11:33CGYMatt Coronato · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 5:10SJSPhilipp Kurashev · Slashingdrawn by Matt Coronato2 min
  • 16:03SJSJohn Klingberg · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalSJS goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Blake Coleman, 2nd 5:46 — CGY 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Honzek · Goal · xG 0.54J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.26R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.22J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.20N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.18M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.14M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.14B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.12N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.11M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.11M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.11J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.09B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.09M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.08M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.07M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.07R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.06M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.06R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.06M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.05C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.05M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.05J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.05R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.04M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.04R. Kerins · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.03A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.03K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.03M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.03B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.01
CGY2 G · 3.8 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCGY
1.60 G
All situations
1 G3.8
0.60 G
Even strength
1 G2.8
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS23%77%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.61 – 3.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCGY
17
Shots on goal
36
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
10
25
Blocked shots
13
14
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38M. FerraroD000000.00320—22:07
37T. LiljegrenD000-100.00230—22:00
3J. KlingbergD000-110.03012—21:18
71M. CelebriniC000-230.330204721:11
21A. WennbergC000-110.010203320:29
9D. OrlovD000000.06120—20:05
72W. EklundL000-120.14220—19:16
51C. GrafR000010.2201010018:08
10T. DellandreaC000000.243303317:55
81A. GaudetteR000010.12300—17:07
96P. KurashevC000-120.08102016:58
5V. DesharnaisD000000.00142—14:42
2W. SmithC000-230.21000014:27
6S. DickinsonD000-110.01000—14:21
73T. ToffoliC000-110.07100014:12
23B. GoodrowC000000.01020011:32
75R. ReavesR000010.08210—09:07
53J. SkinnerL000000.00000—00:42
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30Y. Askarov(L)35341.9713.23+2.2358:23

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).