Hurricanes at Rangers 2-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Carolina Hurricanes

▸2

New York Rangers

FinalTV FDSNSO, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New York Rangers 2-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrei Svechnikov's goal at 6:26 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 46% to 59%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were CAR 43, NYR 16. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Brandon Bussi stopped 16 of 16 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 41 of 42 (.976), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Quick (41 saves, .976), 2. Brandon Bussi (16 saves, 1.000), 3. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G).

Three stars

★
J. Quick41 saves, .976
★★
B. Bussi16 saves, 1.000
★★★
A. Svechnikov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CAR	110	019	114	243
NYR	06	04	06	016

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

A. Svechnikov(21)
M. Jankowski (8)
snapxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
1-0
6:26

3rd period

J. Staal(15)EN
N. Ehlers (29), J. Blake (17)
wristxG 0.92win prob +3 ptsVideo
2-0
19:06

Penalties

4 PIM·

6 PIM

1st

7:28K'Andre Miller · Cross checkingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
12:50Taylor Hall · Trippingdrawn by Will Borgen2 min

2nd

5:03Vladislav Gavrikov · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
18:19Vladislav Gavrikov · Holdingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
19:55Vincent Trocheck · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: NYR

Biggest swing: Andrei Svechnikov, 1st 6:26 — CAR 46% → 59%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 1.8 xG · 26 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 4.2 xG · 63 att NYR

0 G · 1.8 xG · 26 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

4.21 G
All situations: 0 G1.8; 2.51 G
Even strength: 0 G0.9; 0.80 G
Power play: 0 G0.8; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

78%22%

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.30 – 1.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

43
Shots on goal: 16; 59%
Faceoffs: 41%; 0/3
Power play: 0/2; 4
Penalty minutes: 6; 11
Hits: 27; 10
Blocked shots: 21; 18
Giveaways: 15; 5
Takeaways: 4

Box score

every player line

Carolina Hurricanes skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
5J. ChatfieldD	0	0	0	+2	2	0.07	0	0	0	—	22:07
24S. JarvisR	0	0	0	0	2	0.43	1	1	0	100	21:55
20S. AhoC	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	0	0	0	47	20:44
26S. WalkerD	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	1	1	0	—	20:31
74J. SlavinD	0	0	0	+2	5	0.05	0	1	0	—	20:22
4S. GostisbehereD	0	0	0	0	5	0.41	0	1	0	—	19:21
37A. SvechnikovR	1	0	1	+1	2	0.24	1	1	0	—	18:20
19K. MillerD	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	1	2	2	—	17:46
11J. StaalC	1	0	1	+1	3	1.45	1	0	0	73	17:21
27N. EhlersL	0	1	1	+1	5	0.28	0	0	0	—	16:01
53J. BlakeR	0	1	1	+1	3	0.36	0	0	0	—	14:54
22L. StankovenC	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	0	0	0	50	14:27
21A. NikishinD	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	0	0	—	14:16
71T. HallL	0	0	0	0	3	0.32	2	0	2	—	13:39
48J. MartinookL	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	1	0	—	13:35
28W. CarrierL	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	3	1	0	—	10:56
77M. JankowskiL	0	1	1	+1	1	0.16	0	1	0	64	10:14
82J. KotkaniemiC	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	100	09:34

Carolina Hurricanes goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
32B. Bussi(W)	16	16	0	1.000	1.80	+1.80	59:57

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers

1st period

3rd period

1st

2nd

Box score