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Hurricanes at Rangers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
New York Rangers
0
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New York Rangers 3-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Walker's goal at 17:07 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 70% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were CAR 32, NYR 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 29 of 31 (.935). Three stars: 1. Pyotr Kochetkov (26 saves, 1.000), 2. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G), 3. Mike Reilly (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    P. Kochetkov26 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CAR
    N. Ehlers1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    M. Reilly1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR11311316332
NYRNYR01501001026

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    N. Ehlers(1)PPG
    S. Walker (1), S. Aho (8)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:30

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Walker(2)
    M. Reilly (4), M. Jankowski (2)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    17:07

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis(8)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.94Video
    3-0
    18:21

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:53CARMark Jankowski · Holdingdrawn by Juuso Parssinen2 min
  • 13:01NYRVladislav Gavrikov · Slashingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 13:38NYRNoah Laba · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

2nd

  • 0:52CARserved by J. Blake · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:24CARCharles Alexis Legault · Holdingdrawn by Sam Carrick2 min
  • 18:14NYRJ.T. Miller · Hookingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalCAR goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Sean Walker, 2nd 17:07 — CAR 70% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Laba · On goal · xG 0.21J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.19J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.16A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.16M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.14J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.11A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.11C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.11J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.10J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.08J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.08J. Parssinen · On goal · xG 0.07J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.06J. Parssinen · On goal · xG 0.06C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.05J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.03W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.02T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.02W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.01N. Laba · Missed · xG 0.01J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.01T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.01M. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edstrom · On goal · xG 0.01S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.00S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR0 G · 2.3 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNYR
3.12 G
All situations
0 G2.3
1.61 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
0.61 G
Power play
0 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR47%53%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNYR
32
Shots on goal
26
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
13
Hits
22
16
Blocked shots
14
16
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26S. WalkerD112+130.08000—24:16
21A. NikishinD000000.03120—23:42
5J. ChatfieldD000+130.03110—19:23
24S. JarvisR101+141.111105018:43
6M. ReillyD011+200.03220—18:01
11J. StaalC000+100.062107117:15
20S. AhoC011010.010203616:52
48J. MartinookL000+100.03100—16:32
64J. NystromD000020.02010—15:35
22L. StankovenC000040.23010015:11
62C. LegaultD000010.07202—14:55
27N. EhlersL101060.29000—14:33
53J. BlakeR000010.12000—14:25
37A. SvechnikovR000010.38000—14:15
29B. NadeauL000+100.19010—14:09
82J. KotkaniemiC000+130.28210012:44
71T. HallL000020.161106712:34
77M. JankowskiL011+110.020227010:55
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(W)262601.0002.31+2.3160:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).