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Rangers at Hurricanes
NHL

New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
▸4
Carolina Hurricanes
2
FinalTV FDSNSO, MSG 2·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-2. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artemi Panarin's goal at 18:56 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.7 to 2.5; shots on goal were NYR 18, CAR 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 14 of 17 (.824), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Igor Shesterkin (36 saves, .947), 2. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Vincent Trocheck (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin36 saves, .947
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    V. Trocheck1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR141925418
CARCAR013111114238

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    N. Laba(4)
    T. Raddysh (2), M. Robertson (1)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    16:53

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Gostisbehere(3)PPG
    S. Aho (14), N. Ehlers (11)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:04
  2. NYR
    A. Panarin(7)
    A. Fox (19), J. Miller (7)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:56

3rd period

  1. NYR
    V. Trocheck(5)
    A. Panarin (15), M. Zibanejad (9)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    0:45
  2. CAR
    S. Jarvis(12)
    S. Gostisbehere (13), S. Aho (15)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-2
    10:53
  3. NYR
    W. Cuylle(7)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.53win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    18:17

Penalties

NYR 10 PIM·CAR 2 PIM

1st

  • 8:16NYRArtemi Panarin · Trippingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 17:49CARSebastian Aho · Trippingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

2nd

  • 4:57NYRNoah Laba · Slashingdrawn by Frederik Andersen2 min
  • 6:20NYRMika Zibanejad · Trippingdrawn by Justin Robidas2 min
  • 11:16NYRBrett Berard · Boardingdrawn by Sean Walker2 min

3rd

  • 18:53NYRJ.T. Miller · Roughingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNYR goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Artemi Panarin, 2nd 18:56 — NYR 47% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.21W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.19S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.17J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.16S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.16M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.16J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.15K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.15J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.11S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.11J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.10S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.09W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.09J. Robidas · On goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.08S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.07J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.07A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.06S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.05S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.04L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.02J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.02J. Nystrom · On goal · xG 0.02A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR2 G · 3.7 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsCAR
2.53 G
All situations
2 G3.7
1.63 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR23%77%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.95 – 3.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsCAR
18
Shots on goal
38
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/1
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
2
34
Hits
26
20
Blocked shots
10
16
Giveaways
24
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44V. GavrikovD000+100.03030—27:07
23A. FoxD011+200.07110—23:08
16V. TrocheckC101+120.184205822:31
10A. PanarinL112+110.14002—22:00
4B. SchneiderD000000.00400—19:14
29M. RobertsonD011+210.05360—19:00
93M. ZibanejadC011+120.232225318:59
8J. MillerC011+100.132026018:00
24C. SoucyD000010.03140—17:26
13A. LafrenièreL000+100.00600—15:49
50W. CuylleL101+130.832105015:08
42N. LabaC101+110.092024313:41
18U. VaakanainenD000+100.00000—11:56
22J. BrodzinskiC000020.230005011:50
65B. BerardL000030.42402—11:05
14T. RaddyshR011+110.01000—09:23
39S. CarrickC000000.031005608:46
84A. EdstromC000+110.06210007:43
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)38362.9473.66+1.6660:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).