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Rangers at Hurricanes
NHL

New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
Final/OTTV FDSNSO, MSGSN·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New York Rangers 3-2 in overtime, Jackson Blake scoring at 4:47. The Rangers scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jackson Blake's goal at 4:47 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were NYR 20, CAR 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Brandon Bussi stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Jackson Blake (1 G), 2. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jordan Martinook (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Blake1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Martinook1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR15190600220
CARCAR1130711114335

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    V. Gavrikov(7)PPG
    A. Panarin (25), V. Trocheck (13)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:39
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(14)PPG
    A. Nikishin (10), N. Ehlers (17)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:57

2nd period

  1. NYR
    J. Brodzinski(4)
    S. Carrick (6), M. Robertson (5)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:00

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Martinook(6)
    J. Chatfield (7), K. Miller (12)
    deflectedxG 0.20win prob +31 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:11

Overtime

  1. CAR
    J. Blake(12)PPG
    S. Aho (21), N. Ehlers (18)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:47

Penalties

NYR 8 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:09CARAlexander Nikishin · Slashingdrawn by Noah Laba2 min
  • 14:53NYRJonny Brodzinski · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 15:13NYRBraden Schneider · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 0:46CARLogan Stankoven · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Raddysh2 min
  • 13:54NYRWill Borgen · Trippingdrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi2 min

OT

  • 3:01NYRMatthew Robertson · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNYR goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jackson Blake, OT 4:47 — CAR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.31J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.20N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.17J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.16S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.15E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.14J. Blake · Goal · xG 0.14M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.14S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.13L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.12J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.12A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.12J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.11J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.11J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.08W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.08S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.08S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.07E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.06W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.05S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.05J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.05L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.05J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.05A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.03E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.03M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.02J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01J. Nystrom · On goal · xG 0.01J. Nystrom · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01J. Nystrom · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 4.0 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsCAR
2.12 G
All situations
3 G4.0
1.31 G
Even strength
1 G2.7
0.21 G
Power play
2 G1.3
0.50 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR20%80%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 3.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsCAR
20
Shots on goal
35
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/2
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
25
18
Blocked shots
11
15
Giveaways
18
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44V. GavrikovD101-130.11010—26:25
4B. SchneiderD000-130.08332—25:15
16V. TrocheckC011020.072004521:53
17W. BorgenD000+100.00112—21:46
29M. RobertsonD011+100.02222—20:29
93M. ZibanejadC000-110.183004019:41
10A. PanarinL011-110.07000—18:24
50W. CuylleL000020.39230—18:08
13A. LafrenièreL000-120.220305017:42
14T. RaddyshR000020.39120—17:03
24C. SoucyD000000.00300—16:25
43C. ShearyL000000.00200—15:19
94G. PerreaultR000010.02120—14:50
60S. MorrowD000000.00100—13:55
42N. LabaC000020.330002712:53
39S. CarrickC011+100.071104611:43
22J. BrodzinskiC101+110.10002009:47
73M. RempeC000+100.00100007:39
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(O)35323.9144.00+1.0064:47

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).