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Blues at Stars
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
4
Dallas Stars
▸5
FinalTV TNT, HBO MAX·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the St. Louis Blues 5-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Stars led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Benn's goal at 19:37 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 52% to 99%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were STL 18, DAL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 1.3 goals below expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jamie Benn (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jason Robertson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jimmy Snuggerud (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Benn2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Snuggerud1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL250528418
DALDAL11231313528

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    P. Buchnevich(12)PPG
    J. Kyrou (19), J. Faulk (18)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:29
  2. DAL
    J. Robertson(32)
    M. Rantanen (49), M. Heiskanen (38)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:37
  3. STL
    J. Kyrou(13)
    J. Faulk (19), T. Tucker (10)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:33

2nd period

  1. DAL
    M. Duchene(10)PPG
    T. Harley (18), J. Benn (13)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:55
  2. DAL
    M. Bourque(11)
    J. Robertson (34), R. Hintz (29)
    snapxG 0.36win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-3
    3:58
  3. DAL
    J. Benn(8)
    M. Duchene (10), E. Lindell (17)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-4
    11:57

3rd period

  1. STL
    J. Snuggerud(10)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-4
    11:05
  2. STL
    A. Toropchenko(3)
    P. Broberg (16), J. Snuggerud (14)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +38 ptsVideo
    4-4
    15:31
  3. DAL
    J. Benn(9)
    M. Heiskanen (39)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +48 ptsVideo
    4-5
    19:37

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·DAL 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:44DALMiro Heiskanen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:03STLJake Neighbours · Trippingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 19:55STLRobby Fabbri · Trippingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min

2nd

  • 9:45STLJordan Binnington · Trippingdrawn by Oskar Bäck2 min
  • 12:49DALMikko Rantanen · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Tucker2 min
  • 12:49STLTyler Tucker · Roughingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 12:49DALMikko Rantanen · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Tucker2 min
  • 18:14DALRoope Hintz · Trippingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min

3rd

  • 6:24DALWyatt Johnston · Hookingdrawn by Alexey Toropchenko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalSTL goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Jamie Benn, 3rd 19:37 — DAL 52% → 99%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.39M. Bourque · Goal · xG 0.36J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.20J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.20M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.17A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.17J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.16J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.15W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.15M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.14M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.13J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.12J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.11S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.11M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.11M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.10J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.10M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.08J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.06S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.05T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.04W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.03O. Bäck · Missed · xG 0.03M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.01M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.01
DAL5 G · 3.7 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsDAL
2.24 G
All situations
5 G3.7
1.83 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.51 G
Power play
1 G1.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL27%73%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 3.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsDAL
18
Shots on goal
28
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/4
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
28
Hits
24
10
Blocked shots
18
18
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6P. BrobergD011-110.00110—22:44
72J. FaulkD022+220.27000—20:40
89P. BuchnevichL101030.240005720:26
25J. KyrouR112040.49000—19:16
63J. NeighboursL000000.00412—19:07
22P. SuterC000000.000205618:59
21J. SnuggerudR112+210.09110—18:11
55C. ParaykoD000-400.00220—17:56
17C. FowlerD000-100.00000—17:39
10B. SchennC000000.004002016:11
23L. MaillouxD000000.00100—15:09
54D. DvorskyR000-110.290105613:53
70O. SundqvistC000-300.004003013:33
9R. FabbriC000000.08602013:27
26N. WalkerL000-110.01300—13:23
75T. TuckerD011+120.44202—13:13
13A. ToropchenkoR101030.32010—12:47
51M. KesselD000+100.02010—07:49
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)28235.8213.72-1.2859:37

Season series

DAL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).