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Stars at Blues
NHL

Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues

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Dallas Stars
1
St. Louis Blues
▸3
FinalTV FDSNMW, Victory+·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Dallas Stars 3-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jimmy Snuggerud's goal at 13:52 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were DAL 19, STL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Jordan Binnington stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Kyrou (1 G), 2. Jordan Binnington (18 saves, .947), 3. Jimmy Snuggerud (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Kyrou1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington18 saves, .947
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Snuggerud1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL060518119
STLSTL0621214322

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. STL
    J. Kyrou(1)
    B. Schenn (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:27
  2. STL
    J. Snuggerud(3)
    P. Buchnevich (4), T. Tucker (2)
    pokexG 0.23win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    13:52

3rd period

  1. DAL
    M. Rantanen(3)
    W. Johnston (2), L. Bichsel (1)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:42
  2. STL
    P. Suter(2)EN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.52win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:59

Penalties

DAL 4 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:21STLTyler Tucker · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
  • 17:02DALMikko Rantanen · Hookingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min

2nd

  • 4:59STLJimmy Snuggerud · Hookingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min
  • 9:12DALMikko Rantanen · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexandre Texier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalDAL goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Jimmy Snuggerud, 2nd 13:52 — STL 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Suter · Goal · xG 0.52R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.25J. Snuggerud · Goal · xG 0.23J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.15P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.15P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.15M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.13J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.12C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.12J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.10J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.09D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.08C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.06J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.06D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.05P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.04C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.03D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.03M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.02D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.01J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tucker · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 2.7 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsSTL
1.91 G
All situations
2 G2.7
1.71 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 60 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL44%56%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 2.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsSTL
19
Shots on goal
22
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
31
Hits
24
13
Blocked shots
11
20
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000000.00010—24:54
96M. RantanenR101040.3410410024:09
55T. HarleyD000000.00120—23:54
23E. LindellD000020.01100—20:27
53W. JohnstonC011030.491205520:23
18S. SteelC000-100.002003318:48
21J. RobertsonL000020.47100—18:41
24R. HintzC000-110.321004618:00
46I. LyubushkinD000020.02300—17:08
6L. BichselD011-110.01300—16:45
95M. DucheneC000-200.001105715:51
22M. BourqueC000020.05000015:21
91T. SeguinC000-100.031005014:17
28A. PetrovicD000-200.00340—12:22
12R. FaksaC000010.001204410:41
73A. ErneL000-100.0081010009:44
15C. BlackwellC000-200.00100008:51
11N. BastianR000010.16200—06:54
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(L)21192.9052.19+0.1958:50

Season series

DAL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).