Skip to content
Blues at Stars
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
2
Dallas Stars
▸3
FinalTV FDSNMW, Victory+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Robertson's goal at 19:00 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 52% to 98%. Expected goals were close — STL 2.0, DAL 2.1; shots on goal were STL 22, DAL 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.1 goals below expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Jason Robertson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Wyatt Johnston (1 G, 1 A), 3. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    W. Johnston1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    P. Buchnevich1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL1319010222
DALDAL1101514319

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    W. Johnston(27)PPG
    M. Heiskanen (33), R. Hintz (25)
    snapxG 0.29win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:41
  2. STL
    D. Dvorsky(8)PPG
    P. Buchnevich (18), J. Kyrou (13)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:30

2nd period

  1. STL
    P. Buchnevich(9)
    J. Neighbours (9), C. Fowler (16)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:04
  2. DAL
    M. Duchene(5)PPG
    W. Johnston (29), J. Robertson (30)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:44

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(30)
    R. Hintz (26)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +46 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:00

Penalties

STL 10 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:54STLPavel Buchnevich · Holdingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 10:01DALWyatt Johnston · Slashingdrawn by Cam Fowler2 min

2nd

  • 0:23DALJamie Benn · Holdingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 6:19STLJimmy Snuggerud · Slashingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 11:57STLPhilip Broberg · Interferencedrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 16:38STLJustin Faulk · Interferencedrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 18:51STLRobby Fabbri · Trippingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min

3rd

  • 8:00DALNils Lundkvist · Holdingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalSTL goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Jason Robertson, 3rd 19:00 — DAL 52% → 98%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.29M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.21W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.20J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.15M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.13J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.11R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.11S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.11S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.10W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.10R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.06J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.05T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.01N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01N. Lundkvist · Missed · xG 0.01R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.01N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hryckowian · Missed · xG 0.01K. Capobianco · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.00S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 2.1 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsDAL
2.02 G
All situations
3 G2.1
1.61 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.41 G
Power play
2 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 60 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL53%47%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.95 – 1.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsDAL
22
Shots on goal
19
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/3
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
16
10
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
12
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6P. BrobergD000-130.07302—23:50
55C. ParaykoD000-110.08230—21:53
72J. FaulkD000020.19202—20:13
89P. BuchnevichL112+120.261024519:42
17C. FowlerD011+100.03010—19:32
63J. NeighboursL011+110.04000—17:19
10B. SchennC000030.490105616:23
25J. KyrouR011+130.15000—15:49
28O. StenbergC000020.20310015:45
21J. SnuggerudR000000.0911210015:36
29J. BerggrenR000-100.00000—15:16
23L. MaillouxD000000.00110—14:48
75T. TuckerD000+130.14400—14:36
54D. DvorskyR101-110.121003813:21
77N. BjugstadC000010.113001513:21
9R. FabbriC000000.00212012:00
13A. ToropchenkoR000000.00110—11:55
71M. JosephR000-100.00200—11:29
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)19163.8421.85-1.1559:00

Season series

DAL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).