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Seattle Kraken at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Seattle Kraken 4-2. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cutter Gauthier's goal at 4:01 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.5 to 2.4; shots on goal were SEA 28, ANA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.0 goals below expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Jacob Trouba (1 G), 2. Jackson LaCombe (2 A), 3. Jansen Harkins (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. Trouba1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. LaCombe2 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. Harkins2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA07010211228
ANAANA01121129431

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:01
  2. ANA
    slapxG 0.01win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:27

3rd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.10win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-3
    0:24
  2. ANA
    snapxG 0.20Video
    0-4
    13:54
  3. SEA
    J. McCann (14), V. Dunn (26)
    tip-inxG 0.32Video
    1-4
    15:31
  4. SEA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06Video
    2-4
    17:29

Penalties

SEA 20 PIM·ANA 4 PIM

2nd

  • 1:56SEAMatty Beniers · Holdingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min
  • 20:00SEAJacob Melanson · Roughingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 20:00ANAJacob Trouba · Roughingdrawn by Jacob Melanson2 min
  • 20:00SEAJacob Melanson · Misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 2:47SEABrandon Montour · Trippingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel2 min
  • 4:38SEAJamie Oleksiak · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 5:40SEAAdam Larsson · Holdingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 5:40ANAMikael Granlund · Embellishment2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalSEA goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Cutter Gauthier, 2nd 4:01 — ANA 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.53R. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.20A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.19T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.17A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.17O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.17R. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.16M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.11T. Washe · On goal · xG 0.10T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.10A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.10A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.09C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.09R. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.08M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.08C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.08C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.08P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.08R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.08T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.07C. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.05M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.05C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.05B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.05B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.05J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.04A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.03J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.03J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.03M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.03B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.02B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.02B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.02T. Washe · Missed · xG 0.02C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.01O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.01O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.01
ANA4 G · 3.5 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsANA
2.42 G
All situations
4 G3.5
1.82 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA40%60%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 2.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsANA
28
Shots on goal
31
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/0
Power play
0/3
20
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
16
20
Blocked shots
14
12
Giveaways
18
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000-120.18152—24:14
29V. DunnD011-130.21100—21:00
6A. LarssonD000-200.02052—20:06
24J. OleksiakD000-110.09122—19:56
9C. StephensonC000-200.120005519:02
10M. BeniersC000-220.120126418:10
55R. LindgrenD000-100.00000—17:45
19J. McCannL011040.32100—16:50
41R. EvansD000+110.03100—16:39
51S. WrightC000+110.081202916:21
7J. EberleR101-120.47100—15:42
20E. TolvanenR000000.00110—15:05
89F. GaudreauC000000.000107314:50
26R. WintertonC000-160.37000014:13
17J. SchwartzL000010.050202513:28
84K. KakkoR000+100.03100—12:16
12T. KartyeL101+120.12110—11:57
63J. MelansonR000030.142012—08:14
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)31274.8712.96-1.0456:12

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).