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Seattle Kraken at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV KHN/Prime, KING 5·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-1. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Eberle's goal at 10:04 of the third period, which took the Kraken's chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 4.0 to 2.6; shots on goal were SEA 21, ANA 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 40 of 41 (.976), 3.0 goals saved above expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Philipp Grubauer (40 saves, .976), 2. Mikael Granlund (1 G), 3. Radko Gudas.

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    P. Grubauer40 saves, .976
  2. ★★
    ANA
    M. Granlund1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    R. Gudas

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA0101526321
ANAANA07117017141

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.22win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:49
  2. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:40

3rd period

  1. SEA
    snapxG 0.09win prob +33 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:04
  2. SEA
    J. Eberle(12)EN
    backhandxG 0.41win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:24

Penalties

SEA 16 PIM·ANA 18 PIM

1st

  • 0:31SEAMatty Beniers · Slashingdrawn by Jackson LaCombe2 min
  • 9:27ANAOlen Zellweger · Slashingdrawn by Ben Meyers2 min

2nd

  • 4:19ANAJacob Trouba · Slashingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min
  • 7:24SEARyker Evans · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min

3rd

  • 11:00ANACutter Gauthier · Roughingdrawn by Tye Kartye2 min
  • 11:00SEATye Kartye · Roughingdrawn by Cutter Gauthier2 min
  • 19:34ANARoss Johnston · Roughingdrawn by Tye Kartye2 min
  • 19:34SEATye Kartye · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:34ANARoss Johnston · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalSEA goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Jordan Eberle, 3rd 10:04 — SEA 48% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.26R. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.21C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.18C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.17C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.16C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.14P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.13C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.11C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.10R. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.10O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.10M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.10C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.09J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.09T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.07F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.07M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.07F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.06M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.06B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.06A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.06P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.06T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.06O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.06J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.06M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.06P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.05C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.05I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.05B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.05M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.05M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.05J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.04C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.04P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.04J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.04J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.04T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.03M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.03M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.03B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.03T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.02M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.02M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.02P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.02I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.01T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.01R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.01I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.01M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.01R. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.01R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA1 G · 4.0 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsANA
2.62 G
All situations
1 G4.0
1.71 G
Even strength
1 G3.2
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA23%77%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 3.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsANA
21
Shots on goal
41
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/3
Power play
0/2
16
Penalty minutes
18
24
Hits
24
13
Blocked shots
12
16
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD000-110.06300—25:04
55R. LindgrenD000+100.00140—23:12
9C. StephensonC000010.110104021:21
24J. OleksiakD000+100.04100—20:33
89F. GaudreauC101020.371002719:46
20E. TolvanenR011+120.10100—18:37
10M. BeniersC011+220.101324718:28
41R. EvansD000+110.01002—18:10
7J. EberleR202+220.50210—18:07
84K. KakkoR022+120.142105017:07
28J. MahuraD000+100.01000—15:57
29V. DunnD000-110.06020—15:14
59B. MeyersC000010.030006012:13
51S. WrightC011-110.191004311:38
26R. WintertonC000-130.29210010:27
38J. NymanR000-100.31000—09:57
12T. KartyeL000010.12501210009:30
63J. MelansonR000010.20400—08:39
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)41401.9763.96+2.9660:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).