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Anaheim Ducks at Seattle Kraken

FinalTV KHN/Prime, KING 5·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-1. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. The Kraken led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mason Marchment's goal at 3:50 of the second period, which took the Kraken's chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 2.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were ANA 36, SEA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.7 goals below expected; Joey Daccord stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Joey Daccord (35 saves, .972), 2. Mason Marchment (1 G), 3. Jared McCann (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    J. Daccord35 saves, .972
  2. ★★
    SEA
    M. Marchment1 G
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    J. McCann1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA11701207136
SEASEA15111115331

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:21
  2. ANA
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:11

2nd period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.25win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:50

3rd period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:25

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·SEA 2 PIM

2nd

  • 11:07ANACutter Gauthier · Slashingdrawn by Matty Beniers2 min
  • 15:38SEAJamie Oleksiak · Interferencedrawn by Troy Terry2 min

3rd

  • 6:43ANAFrank Vatrano · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Winterton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalANA goalFinal: SEA 100%

Biggest swing: Mason Marchment, 2nd 3:50 — SEA 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.33M. Marchment · Goal · xG 0.25R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.19J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.16R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.15J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.14J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.14E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.10J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.09M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.08J. Nyman · Missed · xG 0.07T. Kartye · Missed · xG 0.07J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.07M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.07E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.06M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.06J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.06J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.06B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.05M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.05V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.04V. Dunn · Goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.02R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kartye · Missed · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.00V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.00A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA3 G · 2.7 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsSEA
2.41 G
All situations
3 G2.7
2.01 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA50%50%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.36 – 2.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsSEA
36
Shots on goal
31
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
24
Hits
29
7
Blocked shots
26
12
Giveaways
24
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD000+120.12200—25:07
23M. McTavishC011+120.163003120:24
61C. GauthierL000050.4810210019:17
51O. ZellwegerD000-130.12100—19:06
7R. GudasD000+120.02110—19:00
14D. HellesonD000-220.07100—18:59
91L. CarlssonC000-240.260004718:29
65J. TroubaD000-110.01310—18:23
64M. GranlundC000-100.020003517:42
45B. SenneckeR101+130.29310—17:24
20C. KreiderL000010.11200—16:49
19T. TerryR000-110.05000—16:29
98P. MintyukovD000-210.00110—15:42
17A. KillornL000-240.301006715:00
77F. VatranoR000-230.06322—12:26
12S. ColangeloR000000.01000—10:16
25R. PoehlingC000010.191107309:58
44R. JohnstonL000010.09100—08:28
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(L)31283.9032.35-0.6557:01

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).