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Anaheim Ducks at Seattle Kraken

FinalTV KHN/Prime, Victory+·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Seattle Kraken 4-2. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Poehling's goal at 15:24 of the first period, which took the Ducks' chances from 58% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 2.8 to 1.6; shots on goal were ANA 31, SEA 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Philipp Grubauer stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cutter Gauthier (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jaden Schwartz (1 G), 3. Jared McCann (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    C. Gauthier1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SEA
    J. Schwartz1 G
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    J. McCann1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA21211217431
SEASEA0318111222

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.18win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:02
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.19win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    15:24

2nd period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:55
  2. ANA
    C. Kreider(16)PPG
    wristxG 0.30win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-1
    4:00

3rd period

  1. SEA
    S. Wright (11), K. Kakko (14)
    pokexG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:54
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.40win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    18:48

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·SEA 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:17ANAAlex Killorn · Hookingdrawn by Berkly Catton2 min

2nd

  • 2:38SEARyker Evans · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:00SEARyan Lindgren · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Jansen Harkins0 min
  • 12:42ANARyan Strome · High stickingdrawn by Adam Larsson2 min
  • 14:12SEABrandon Montour · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalANA goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Poehling, 1st 15:24 — ANA 58% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.15M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.14J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.14M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.12J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.08V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.07E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.07B. Catton · On goal · xG 0.06J. Melanson · Missed · xG 0.06B. Catton · Missed · xG 0.06E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.06J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.06R. Evans · Missed · xG 0.05M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.04S. Wright · Missed · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.03K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.03E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.03S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.03S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.03B. Catton · Missed · xG 0.03J. Melanson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Evans · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.02M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01J. Melanson · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.00E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.00F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA2 G · 1.6 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsSEA
2.83 G
All situations
2 G1.6
1.71 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA65%35%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 1.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsSEA
31
Shots on goal
22
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
21
10
Blocked shots
11
11
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD011-110.04010—22:54
65J. TroubaD000-100.01100—22:32
98P. MintyukovD112+230.43120—20:27
64M. GranlundC011020.242103618:51
14D. HellesonD011+210.02110—18:47
25R. PoehlingC101+210.230005018:13
61C. GauthierL112+170.332006717:13
20C. KreiderL101010.37000—16:48
51O. ZellwegerD000020.13000—16:43
7R. GudasD000010.07500—16:10
28J. VielL011+140.35510—15:57
17A. KillornL000010.10012—15:17
74I. MooreD011+110.03010—14:19
42T. WasheC000010.086106814:13
45B. SenneckeR000-110.23100—13:54
44R. JohnstonL000000.00000—12:47
24J. HarkinsC000-120.160105010:44
16R. StromeC000-120.03102010:11
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(W)22202.9091.64-0.3660:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).