Skip to content
Blues at Predators
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
5
Nashville Predators
▸6
FinalTV FDSNMW, FDSNSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the St. Louis Blues 6-5. The Predators came back from 4 goals down. The Blues led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Steven Stamkos's goal at 10:23 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.4 to 3.1; shots on goal were STL 34, NSH 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 22 of 28 (.786), 2.9 goals below expected; Justus Annunen stopped 13 of 13 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Roman Josi (4 A), 2. Steven Stamkos (2 G), 3. Ryan O'Reilly (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    R. Josi4 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    S. Stamkos2 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    R. O'Reilly2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL21431406534
NSHNSH1921138628

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    J. Neighbours(14)
    J. Faulk (17), T. Tucker (9)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:53
  2. NSH
    R. O'Reilly(19)PPG
    F. Forsberg (22), R. Josi (24)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:16
  3. STL
    P. Buchnevich(10)PPG
    J. Neighbours (10), J. Kyrou (16)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +10 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:24

2nd period

  1. STL
    P. Buchnevich(11)
    J. Kyrou (17), J. Neighbours (11)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    0:45
  2. STL
    P. Broberg(3)
    J. Kyrou (18), P. Buchnevich (22)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-1
    3:23
  3. STL
    C. Parayko(1)
    J. Snuggerud (13), P. Broberg (15)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +6 ptsVideo
    5-1
    3:55
  4. NSH
    M. McCarron(4)
    M. Bunting (18), R. Josi (25)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +4 ptsVideo
    5-2
    11:35
  5. NSH
    F. Forsberg(23)
    R. Josi (26), E. Haula (19)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +9 ptsVideo
    5-3
    13:49

3rd period

  1. NSH
    R. O'Reilly(20)
    J. Barron (5), L. Evangelista (32)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +17 ptsVideo
    5-4
    2:02
  2. NSH
    S. Stamkos(26)
    L. Evangelista (33), R. Josi (27)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.07win prob +29 ptsVideo
    5-5
    7:14
  3. NSH
    S. Stamkos(27)
    B. Skjei (16), L. Evangelista (34)
    pokexG 0.26win prob +32 ptsVideo
    5-6
    10:23

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:04STLTyler Tucker · Hookingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 14:04NSHAndreas Englund · Interferencedrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min

3rd

  • 10:41NSHSteven Stamkos · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:57STLBrayden Schenn · Cross checkingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalSTL goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Steven Stamkos, 3rd 10:23 — NSH 52% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.34S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.26R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.18L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.17A. Wilsby · On goal · xG 0.15L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.15C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.14A. Wilsby · Missed · xG 0.13J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.12M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.12C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.10J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.10M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.09B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.09M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.05M. McCarron · Goal · xG 0.05A. Englund · On goal · xG 0.05E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.05M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.04J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03A. Wilsby · Missed · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.02M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.02A. Wilsby · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.02A. Wilsby · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01N. Blankenburg · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.00M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.00L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.00N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH6 G · 3.1 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsNSH
3.45 G
All situations
6 G3.1
3.24 G
Even strength
5 G2.9
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL57%43%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.40 – 2.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsNSH
34
Shots on goal
28
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
15
10
Blocked shots
11
16
Giveaways
14
8
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD101020.10010—22:14
6P. BrobergD112010.13000—21:48
72J. FaulkD011-130.24000—21:09
21J. SnuggerudR011010.13200—18:54
17C. FowlerD000-120.19120—18:48
10B. SchennC000020.291027518:28
63J. NeighboursL123+140.67200—18:28
75T. TuckerD011030.24012—18:21
89P. BuchnevichL213+160.600202217:53
22P. SuterC000000.001104317:37
54D. DvorskyR000-110.070003316:59
23L. MaillouxD000010.03010—15:39
25J. KyrouR033+230.37000—15:15
77N. BjugstadC000020.165008214:23
29J. BerggrenR000020.09020—14:03
13A. ToropchenkoR000-210.08100—12:10
71M. JosephR000-200.03300—09:17
70O. SundqvistC000-200.000003308:20
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer(L)28226.7863.06-2.9458:59

Season series

NSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).