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Blues at Predators
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
2
Nashville Predators
▸7
FinalTV FDSNMW, FDSNSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the St. Louis Blues 7-2. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan O'Reilly's goal at 8:38 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.9 to 1.9; shots on goal were STL 26, NSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 19 of 25 (.760), 3.1 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Steven Stamkos (4 G), 2. Luke Evangelista (3 A), 3. Matthew Wood (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    S. Stamkos4 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    L. Evangelista3 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    M. Wood2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL092908226
NSHNSH21241317732

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    S. Stamkos(9)
    M. Wood (5), F. Svechkov (5)
    batxG 0.41win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:22
  2. NSH
    S. Stamkos(10)
    R. Josi (9), N. Perbix (3)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:19

2nd period

  1. STL
    H. McGing(1)
    R. Fabbri (1), P. Broberg (9)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:17
  2. NSH
    R. O'Reilly(10)
    L. Evangelista (17)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    8:38
  3. NSH
    F. Forsberg(11)
    L. Evangelista (18), B. Skjei (8)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-4
    11:43
  4. NSH
    S. Stamkos(11)
    N. Blankenburg (9), F. Svechkov (6)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-5
    12:06
  5. STL
    R. Thomas(7)
    P. Broberg (10), J. Neighbours (5)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-5
    13:56
  6. NSH
    S. Stamkos(12)
    M. Wood (6), R. Josi (10)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-6
    15:33

3rd period

  1. NSH
    M. Bunting(8)PPG
    L. Evangelista (19), N. Blankenburg (10)
    tip-inxG 0.15Video
    2-7
    7:36

Penalties

STL 13 PIM·NSH 11 PIM

1st

  • 3:07NSHReid Schaefer · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jordan Binnington2 min
  • 18:16STLRobby Fabbri · High sticking double minordrawn by Luke Evangelista4 min

2nd

  • 17:19STLTyler Tucker · Fightingdrawn by Michael McCarron5 min
  • 17:19NSHMichael McCarron · Fightingdrawn by Tyler Tucker5 min

3rd

  • 6:13STLPius Suter · Trippingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 12:43STLCam Fowler · High stickingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 15:15NSHFilip Forsberg · Hookingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 17:53NSHAdam Wilsby · Slashingdrawn by Aleksanteri Kaskimaki2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalSTL goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan O'Reilly, 2nd 8:38 — NSH 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.41E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.35F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.20M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.18S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.18F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.17S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.16F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.16M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.15S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.15S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.14L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.11M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.11S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.09F. Svechkov · Missed · xG 0.09L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.08F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.06M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04R. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.04M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.04R. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.04L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.03S. Stastney · Missed · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.02N. Blankenburg · On goal · xG 0.02S. Stastney · Missed · xG 0.02M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.01N. Blankenburg · Missed · xG 0.01S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.01
NSH7 G · 3.9 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsNSH
1.92 G
All situations
7 G3.9
1.32 G
Even strength
6 G2.7
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL21%79%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 3.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsNSH
26
Shots on goal
32
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
11
27
Hits
14
10
Blocked shots
15
14
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6P. BrobergD022030.15100—25:26
55C. ParaykoD000-210.00130—22:00
17C. FowlerD000-300.05122—20:57
18R. ThomasC101-140.270004719:02
89P. BuchnevichL000-120.21000—18:38
72J. FaulkD000-110.07100—18:26
81D. HollowayL000030.43320—16:58
75T. TuckerD000-110.01215—16:06
54D. DvorskyR000-110.080004415:28
22P. SuterC000-320.081024015:26
63J. NeighboursL011020.32400—15:25
23L. MaillouxD000-110.03200—15:07
10B. SchennC000000.004006414:37
9R. FabbriC011000.01314014:28
71M. JosephR000-100.00200—13:44
70O. SundqvistC000-220.011006711:30
56H. McGingL101-110.150006709:48
65A. KaskimakiC000-220.04110009:31
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)25196.7602.93-3.0740:00
30J. Hofer761.8570.92-0.0820:00

Season series

NSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).