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New York Islanders at New York Rangers

FinalTV MSGSN2, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New York Rangers 2-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carson Soucy's goal at 17:18 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were NYI 21, NYR 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matthew Schaefer (1 G), 2. Ilya Sorokin (20 saves, .952), 3. Mika Zibanejad (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    M. Schaefer1 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin20 saves, .952
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0625010221
NYRNYR060817121

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. NYI
    snapxG 0.02win prob +22 ptsVideo
    1-0
    17:18
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    18:53

3rd period

  1. NYR
    slapxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    2:48

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·NYR 8 PIM

1st

  • 19:50NYRJ.T. Miller · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min

2nd

  • 3:47NYIMathew Barzal · High stickingdrawn by Vladislav Gavrikov2 min
  • 8:29NYRWill Cuylle · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min

3rd

  • 1:26NYIRyan Pulock · Boardingdrawn by Gabe Perreault2 min
  • 6:59NYITony DeAngelo · Abuse of officials2 min
  • 12:08NYRUrho Vaakanainen · Roughingdrawn by Marc Gatcomb2 min
  • 12:08NYIMarc Gatcomb · Roughingdrawn by Urho Vaakanainen2 min
  • 19:41NYRVincent Trocheck · Holdingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalNYI goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Carson Soucy, 2nd 17:18 — NYI 47% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.21J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.18G. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.17M. Rempe · Missed · xG 0.15M. Rempe · Missed · xG 0.13J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.12M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.10B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.09G. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.08B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.06G. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rempe · Missed · xG 0.04B. Berard · Missed · xG 0.03J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.02B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02S. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.02G. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.00S. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.00M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR1 G · 1.8 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNYR
2.12 G
All situations
1 G1.8
1.22 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI35%65%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.15 – 1.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNYR
21
Shots on goal
21
38%
Faceoffs
63%
0/3
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
31
17
Blocked shots
10
12
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48M. SchaeferD101+120.04000—23:25
3A. PelechD000000.02150—21:19
6R. PulockD000+110.05042—21:15
77T. DeAngeloD000040.08022—20:09
14B. HorvatC011+120.111204119:55
51E. HeinemanL000010.17210—18:37
10S. HolmstromR000+100.00010—18:31
13M. BarzalC000010.04002018:25
44J. PageauC000020.143007716:01
24S. MayfieldD011+100.00110—15:33
27A. LeeL000+100.98100—15:08
29J. DrouinL000000.000001314:52
81O. PalatL000020.18100—14:43
4C. SoucyD101+120.05000—14:39
11A. DuclairL000000.00000—13:58
16M. GatcombC000+110.01512009:32
32K. MacLeanC000+110.131001708:37
49M. ShabanovR011+120.10000—07:59
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)21201.9521.83+0.8360:00

Season series

NYI leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).