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Rangers at Islanders
NHL

New York Rangers at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
2
New York Islanders
▸5
FinalTV MSGSN, MSG 2·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New York Rangers 5-2. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Barzal's goal at 13:12 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were NYR 16, NYI 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Spencer Martin stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 1.8 goals below expected; David Rittich stopped 14 of 16 (.875). Three stars: 1. Ondrej Palat (1 G, 1 A), 2. Simon Holmstrom (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    O. Palat1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    S. Holmstrom1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    J. Pageau1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR171603216
NYINYI21431408536

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    O. Palat(5)PPG
    S. Holmstrom (13), M. Schaefer (22)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    14:59
  2. NYI
    S. Holmstrom(13)
    T. DeAngelo (19), J. Pageau (12)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    16:10
  3. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(22)PPG
    J. Miller (20), V. Gavrikov (10)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:04

2nd period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(13)PPG
    S. Holmstrom (14), B. Horvat (13)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    13:12
  2. NYI
    J. Pageau(11)
    M. Gatcomb (2), K. MacLean (3)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-4
    13:59
  3. NYR
    T. Raddysh(8)
    N. Laba (10), W. Borgen (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-4
    15:42
  4. NYI
    E. Heineman(15)
    A. Pelech (6), O. Palat (7)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-5
    19:12

Penalties

NYR 10 PIM·NYI 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:33NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Slashingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 11:42NYIBo Horvat · Interferencedrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 13:02NYRVincent Trocheck · Slashingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min
  • 17:33NYIJonathan Drouin · High stickingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

2nd

  • 9:41NYRSam Carrick · Trippingdrawn by Kyle MacLean2 min
  • 9:41NYRSam Carrick · Cross checkingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 9:41NYRMatt Rempe · Boardingdrawn by Marc Gatcomb2 min

3rd

  • 7:28NYIBo Horvat · Trippingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalNYR goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Mathew Barzal, 2nd 13:12 — NYI 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.30B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.24E. Heineman · Goal · xG 0.21M. Gatcomb · On goal · xG 0.19O. Palat · Goal · xG 0.18E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.14M. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.11A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.10O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.09S. Holmstrom · Goal · xG 0.09M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.09S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.08T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.08M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.08J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.07M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.07E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.06J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.06J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.05C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.04M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.04S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.04S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.03M. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.02R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.02E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02K. MacLean · Missed · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.02M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.00
NYI5 G · 3.2 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsNYI
1.82 G
All situations
5 G3.2
1.21 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.61 G
Power play
2 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR25%75%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 3.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsNYI
16
Shots on goal
36
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/2
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
31
Hits
23
11
Blocked shots
16
15
Giveaways
16
8
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44V. GavrikovD011020.12010—24:44
4B. SchneiderD000030.09310—22:52
29M. RobertsonD000-210.03120—22:14
93M. ZibanejadC101-120.370003821:39
17W. BorgenD011-100.00120—20:38
8J. MillerC011-110.246002519:46
94G. PerreaultR000-110.34010—16:17
16V. TrocheckC000-100.050126415:50
42N. LabaC011000.084101414:25
50W. CuylleL000-110.03400—14:18
18U. VaakanainenD000010.04110—13:54
78B. OthmannL000000.00400—13:48
14T. RaddyshR101010.07100—13:28
13A. LafrenièreL000-120.26002—13:27
60S. MorrowD000-100.01000—13:23
22J. BrodzinskiC000000.0601010010:10
39S. CarrickC000010.002048009:50
73M. RempeC000000.00402009:49
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Martin(L)36315.8613.23-1.7760:00

Season series

NYI leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).