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New York Rangers at New York Islanders

FinalTV MSGSN, MSG 2·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New York Rangers 2-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anders Lee's goal at 0:58 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 54% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 4.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were NYR 27, NYI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 2.4 goals saved above expected; David Rittich stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 2.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. David Rittich (27 saves, 1.000), 2. Anders Lee (1 G), 3. Igor Shesterkin (24 saves, .960).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    D. Rittich27 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYI
    A. Lee1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin24 saves, .960

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR07010010027
NYINYI1100719226

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(10)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:58

3rd period

  1. NYI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.66win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:43

Penalties

NYR 12 PIM·NYI 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:51NYRVladislav Gavrikov · Trippingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

2nd

  • 4:56NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Holding the stickdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min
  • 11:09NYRBraden Schneider · Hookingdrawn by Max Shabanov2 min
  • 13:56NYIAdam Pelech · Interferencedrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min

3rd

  • 1:49NYITony DeAngelo · Interferencedrawn by Noah Laba2 min
  • 1:49NYRNoah Laba · Trippingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min
  • 7:58NYRWill Cuylle · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by David Rittich2 min
  • 9:18NYICalum Ritchie · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by Carson Soucy0 min
  • 12:35NYRVincent Trocheck · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Pulock2 min
  • 14:41NYICalum Ritchie · Trippingdrawn by Vladislav Gavrikov2 min
  • 16:59NYIBo Horvat · Trippingdrawn by Noah Laba2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalNYR goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Anders Lee, 1st 0:58 — NYI 54% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Holmstrom · Goal · xG 0.66K. MacLean · Missed · xG 0.32J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.28M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.26J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.20M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.17S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.17B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.17A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.14E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.13J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.13J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.12B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.12M. Shabanov · On goal · xG 0.10B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.10T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.09B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.09M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.09M. Gatcomb · On goal · xG 0.08E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.08B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.07C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.07M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.06K. MacLean · On goal · xG 0.06B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.05S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.05M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.05M. Warren · Missed · xG 0.04M. Shabanov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.04M. Shabanov · Missed · xG 0.04M. Warren · On goal · xG 0.02M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02M. Warren · On goal · xG 0.01
NYI2 G · 4.3 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsNYI
2.70 G
All situations
1 G4.3
1.60 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR38%62%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 3.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsNYI
27
Shots on goal
26
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/3
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
14
17
Blocked shots
19
9
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
93M. ZibanejadC000-100.082405324:19
44V. GavrikovD000010.08002—23:47
16V. TrocheckC000-230.223026522:38
10A. PanarinL000-140.71010—21:50
4B. SchneiderD000000.00312—21:46
50W. CuylleL000-140.63542—20:13
60S. MorrowD000-110.05010—20:04
17W. BorgenD000-120.03110—16:38
29M. RobertsonD000000.00100—15:52
24C. SoucyD000-140.36200—15:33
14T. RaddyshR000000.0010010014:47
13A. LafrenièreL000-120.08022—14:28
42N. LabaC000000.001325014:13
94G. PerreaultR000-110.0410010013:27
39S. CarrickC000020.160005009:43
22J. BrodzinskiC000-110.0100010009:01
78B. OthmannL000010.10000—05:47
73M. RempeC000010.1140010005:44
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)25241.9603.38+2.3858:10

Season series

NYI leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).