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New York Islanders at New York Rangers

FinalTV MSGSN, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New York Rangers 5-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Drouin's goal at 19:27 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 62% to 78%. Expected goals were close — NYI 3.3, NYR 3.3; shots on goal were NYI 26, NYR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 33 of 33 (1.000), 3.3 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ilya Sorokin (33 saves, 1.000), 2. Bo Horvat (2 G), 3. Jonathan Drouin (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin33 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYI
    B. Horvat2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    J. Drouin1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI2911225526
NYRNYR0807018033

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    snapxG 0.21win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:29
  2. NYI
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    19:27

2nd period

  1. NYI
    B. Horvat(11)PPG
    snapxG 0.14win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-0
    18:42

3rd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.79Video
    4-0
    17:59
  2. NYI
    snapxG 0.11Video
    5-0
    19:30

Penalties

NYI 4 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:51NYIEmil Heineman · High stickingdrawn by Will Borgen2 min

2nd

  • 13:16NYITony DeAngelo · Hookingdrawn by Sam Carrick2 min
  • 16:54NYRConor Sheary · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Schaefer2 min

3rd

  • 4:44NYRNoah Laba · Hookingdrawn by Calum Ritchie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalNYI goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Drouin, 1st 19:27 — NYI 62% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.42M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.21W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.17J. Chmelar · On goal · xG 0.17M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.15J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.15M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.13W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.12S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.11A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.10C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.10T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.08A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.06A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.05J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.05V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.05A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.04S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.04V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.03C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.03A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.03V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.03V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.03J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.02U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.02W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.00W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.00V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR0 G · 3.3 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNYR
3.34 G
All situations
0 G3.3
2.13 G
Even strength
0 G2.2
0.51 G
Power play
0 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI38%62%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.52 – 3.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNYR
26
Shots on goal
33
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
14
18
Blocked shots
14
14
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD000+120.01010—24:22
48M. SchaeferD000+130.09010—24:16
13M. BarzalC011020.33010021:58
24S. MayfieldD000+200.00250—20:34
29J. DrouinL123+210.1701010019:30
14B. HorvatC202+150.561005618:11
3A. PelechD000+200.01020—17:50
28A. RomanovD000+120.04400—17:41
21K. PalmieriC011+130.34100017:34
10S. HolmstromR011+110.00010—16:26
44J. PageauC123+321.043206316:23
27A. LeeL101+110.11110—16:06
11A. DuclairL022+200.00020—12:44
77T. DeAngeloD000+110.02012—12:29
51E. HeinemanL011+120.2610210012:09
7M. TsyplakovR000000.00100—10:33
53C. CizikasC000000.07400009:20
64C. RitchieC000010.270005007:54
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)333301.0003.26+3.2660:00

Season series

NYI leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).