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Red Wings at Maple Leafs
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸2
Toronto Maple Leafs
1
Final/OTTV TNT, truTV·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 2-1 in overtime, Dylan Larkin scoring at 3:08. The Maple Leafs scored first; the Red Wings answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Larkin's goal at 3:08 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.1 to 3.2; shots on goal were DET 41, TOR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. John Gibson stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 3.1 goals saved above expected; Joseph Woll stopped 39 of 41 (.951), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Larkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. John Gibson (30 saves, .968), 3. Joseph Woll (39 saves, .951).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    J. Gibson30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    J. Woll39 saves, .951

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET1150701316241
TORTOR1120140500131

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    S. Laughton(7)
    C. Jarnkrok (1), S. Lorentz (10)
    snapxG 0.36win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:46
  2. DET
    S. Edvinsson(6)
    L. Raymond (39), D. Larkin (21)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:42

Overtime

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(25)
    M. Seider (27)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +51 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:08

Penalties

DET 4 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:37TOREaston Cowan · Holdingdrawn by Albert Johansson2 min

2nd

  • 4:28DETJacob Bernard-Docker · Trippingdrawn by Bobby McMann2 min
  • 9:31DETJames van Riemsdyk · Trippingdrawn by Matias Maccelli2 min
  • 14:49TORCalle Jarnkrok · Holding the stickdrawn by Albert Johansson2 min
  • 16:41DETSimon Edvinsson · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Scott Laughton0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalDET goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Larkin, OT 3:08 — DET 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.37S. Laughton · Goal · xG 0.36M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.21J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.20M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.20J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.20M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.19S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.18A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.15M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.15N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.13J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.12A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.11J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.10N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.10M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.09C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.09A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.08A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.08A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.08M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.07M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.07B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.06S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.05M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05E. Cowan · Missed · xG 0.04M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.04B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.03N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.03B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.02N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.00M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.00T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR1 G · 4.1 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsTOR
3.22 G
All situations
1 G4.1
2.62 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
0.60 G
Power play
0 G1.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET37%63%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.16 – 4.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsTOR
41
Shots on goal
31
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
22
12
Blocked shots
16
16
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD011+220.10010—27:46
77S. EdvinssonD101+130.25120—26:45
8B. ChiarotD000-150.03000—21:49
18A. CoppC000020.111006820:40
71D. LarkinC112+250.721104319:17
23L. RaymondL011+220.16100—17:55
93A. DeBrincatR000060.78100—17:55
88P. KaneR000010.04010—17:46
20A. JohanssonD000010.13020—17:40
92M. KasperC000+130.1812010016:53
25J. Bernard-DockerD000000.00102—15:28
27M. RasmussenC000020.183104514:33
22M. AppletonC000010.02200013:49
37J. CompherL000-120.270103313:20
85E. SoderblomL000030.21200—13:07
21J. van RiemsdykL000-110.04002—11:48
44A. Sandin-PellikkaD000-120.02010—09:55
58E. FinnieC000-100.00100008:58
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(W)31301.9684.09+3.0963:08

Season series

DET leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).