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Panthers at Sabres
NHL

Florida Panthers at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
0
Buffalo Sabres
▸3
FinalTV MSG-B, SCRIPPS·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Florida Panthers 3-0. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Doan's goal at 11:12 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.7 to 2.8; shots on goal were FLA 32, BUF 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Alex Lyon stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 3.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Lyon (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Josh Doan (2 G), 3. Owen Power (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    A. Lyon32 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Doan2 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    O. Power1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA012010010032
BUFBUF18213010331

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    J. Doan(1)PPG
    T. Thompson (3), R. Dahlin (4)
    deflectedxG 0.15win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:13

2nd period

  1. BUF
    J. Doan(2)PPG
    J. Zucker (1), Z. Benson (5)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:12
  2. BUF
    O. Power(1)
    A. Tuch (3), P. Krebs (2)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    14:20

Penalties

FLA 12 PIM·BUF 28 PIM

1st

  • 0:09BUFZach Benson · Trippingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 3:51BUFBowen Byram · Interferencedrawn by Seth Jones2 min
  • 7:07FLAUvis Balinskis · Interferencedrawn by Jiri Kulich2 min
  • 13:28BUFserved by J. Quinn · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:45BUFPeyton Krebs · Trippingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min

2nd

  • 0:53FLAAnton Lundell · Hookingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min
  • 4:14FLANiko Mikkola · Holdingdrawn by Tyson Kozak2 min
  • 5:00BUFJason Zucker · Hookingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
  • 10:40FLABrad Marchand · Interferencedrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 10:40FLABrad Marchand · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
  • 10:40BUFTage Thompson · Roughingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 17:04BUFMason Geertsen · Abusive language10 min
  • 19:48BUFJosh Doan · Roughingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 19:48BUFMattias Samuelsson · Roughingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 19:48FLAEetu Luostarinen · Roughingdrawn by Mattias Samuelsson2 min

3rd

  • 7:10BUFConor Timmins · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalFLA goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Doan, 2nd 11:12 — BUF 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.22J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.17Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.16P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.16J. Doan · Goal · xG 0.15J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.14J. Doan · Goal · xG 0.13J. Kulich · Missed · xG 0.12T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.10A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.09P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.08J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.08O. Power · Goal · xG 0.08B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.07T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kulich · Missed · xG 0.06J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.06O. Power · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kulich · On goal · xG 0.05T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.05C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.04J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.04J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.04C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kulich · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.03M. Samuelsson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kulich · On goal · xG 0.02T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.02A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.02B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.02A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.01M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.01B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.00C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF3 G · 2.8 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsBUF
3.70 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.60 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
2.10 G
Power play
2 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA64%36%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.60 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsBUF
32
Shots on goal
31
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/7
Power play
2/4
12
Penalty minutes
28
29
Hits
23
17
Blocked shots
20
15
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD000040.35300—23:48
13S. ReinhartC000020.923104023:33
5A. EkbladD000-130.18240—23:07
42G. ForslingD000-110.10100—21:06
23C. VerhaegheC000040.40000020:54
9S. BennettC000010.201104719:08
26U. BalinskisD000010.00232—18:53
15A. LundellC000-100.001126118:30
2J. PetryD000010.05000—18:16
11M. SamoskevichR000070.67100—17:46
63B. MarchandL000-140.28004—15:37
17E. RodriguesC000020.552202515:33
27E. LuostarinenC000-110.00112012:30
71L. KuninC000000.001105710:47
70J. BoqvistC000000.0153010010:44
12J. GadjovichL000000.00400—09:14
10A. GreerL000010.02200—09:12
77N. MikkolaD000000.00002—06:53
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)31283.9032.76-0.2459:51

Season series

BUF leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).