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Hurricanes at Capitals
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
Washington Capitals
1
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Washington Capitals 3-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrei Svechnikov's goal at 18:01 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.4 to 2.4; shots on goal were CAR 22, WSH 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Logan Thompson stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G), 2. Frederik Andersen (18 saves, .947), 3. Logan Thompson (19 saves, .905).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    F. Andersen18 saves, .947
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    L. Thompson19 saves, .905

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR190825322
WSHWSH1405010119

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(1)
    J. Martinook (5)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:38
  2. WSH
    A. Beauvillier(2)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:41

3rd period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(8)
    S. Walker (2), S. Jarvis (6)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +47 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:01
  2. CAR
    S. Jarvis(4)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.73win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:33

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·WSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:30CARDmitry Orlov · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Leonard2 min

2nd

  • 5:27CARAlexander Nikishin · Trippingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 8:39WSHAnthony Beauvillier · Interferencedrawn by Brent Burns2 min
  • 18:19WSHTrevor van Riemsdyk · Slashingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

3rd

  • 0:56CARJordan Martinook · Chargingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalCAR goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Andrei Svechnikov, 3rd 18:01 — CAR 48% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.29P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.27J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.17A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.14A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.14A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.12C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.12P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.12A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.11J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.10T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.09T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.09T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.07J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.04C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.04A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH1 G · 2.4 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsWSH
3.42 G
All situations
1 G2.4
2.32 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR56%44%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.61 – 2.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsWSH
22
Shots on goal
19
64%
Faceoffs
36%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
46
Hits
40
24
Blocked shots
16
20
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26S. WalkerD011+200.01150—23:00
74J. SlavinD000+100.02190—22:45
8B. BurnsD000+100.02100—21:52
7D. OrlovD000+100.00122—20:50
24S. JarvisR112+241.254006720:01
20S. AhoC000+200.057006319:44
4S. GostisbehereD000-110.06210—17:47
11J. StaalC101+130.157105216:56
37A. SvechnikovR101+230.27500—16:18
71T. HallL000-120.22020—14:54
48J. MartinookL011+110.35102—14:08
53J. BlakeR000-100.00000—14:00
22L. StankovenC000010.08210013:47
28W. CarrierL000+130.31500—13:33
96J. RoslovicC000-110.370107512:56
50E. RobinsonL000000.00520—10:34
21A. NikishinD000020.09202—10:33
82J. KotkaniemiC000010.1320010010:22
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)19181.9472.38+1.3860:00

Series

CAR leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).