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Hurricanes at Capitals
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals

Final/OTTV ESPN, SN·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Washington Capitals 2-1 in overtime, Jaccob Slavin scoring at 3:06. The Capitals scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Capitals led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jaccob Slavin's goal at 3:06 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.2 to 1.6; shots on goal were CAR 33, WSH 14. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 13 of 14 (.929), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Logan Thompson stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jaccob Slavin (1 G), 2. Logan Thompson (31 saves, .939), 3. Logan Stankoven (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Slavin1 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    L. Thompson31 saves, .939
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    L. Stankoven1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CARCAR0120811112233
WSHWSH05160300114

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:53

3rd period

  1. CAR
    snapxG 0.14win prob +30 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:42

Overtime

  1. CAR
    slapxG 0.01win prob +52 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:06

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:02CARSebastian Aho · High stickingdrawn by Alexander Alexeyev2 min
  • 14:51WSHBrandon Duhaime · Holdingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min

3rd

  • 0:27CARJackson Blake · Trippingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 2:28WSHAlex Ovechkin · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 17:53WSHJakob Chychrun · High stickingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalCAR goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Jaccob Slavin, OT 3:06 — CAR 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.18A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.15P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.15N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.14T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.12J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.12B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.09J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.09J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.08T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05R. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.05A. Protas · Goal · xG 0.05M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.04R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.04A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.03A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.03C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.01R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.00D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH1 G · 1.6 xG · 25 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsWSH
3.22 G
All situations
1 G1.6
2.92 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR78%22%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.16 – 1.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsWSH
33
Shots on goal
14
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
44
Hits
31
9
Blocked shots
32
12
Giveaways
13
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD000+110.02010—22:35
7D. OrlovD011+130.31300—22:11
20S. AhoC000040.575025521:36
53J. BlakeR000000.00202—21:26
5J. ChatfieldD000+100.06110—21:05
74J. SlavinD101+150.16010—20:41
37A. SvechnikovR000030.5260010020:20
24S. JarvisR000030.2330010019:47
4S. GostisbehereD000-120.08030—18:48
11J. StaalC000010.063006718:03
48J. MartinookL011010.18400—17:37
26S. WalkerD000-110.13100—16:37
82J. KotkaniemiC011+110.142204015:59
71T. HallL000+130.15200—15:57
22L. StankovenC101+120.262006015:51
28W. CarrierL000000.00700—08:38
50E. RobinsonL000010.18210—08:02
77M. JankowskiL000020.121005706:17
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)14131.9291.57+0.5763:06

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).