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Capitals at Hurricanes
NHL

Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Washington Capitals 5-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jarvis's goal at 1:05 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.9 to 2.1; shots on goal were WSH 21, CAR 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 2.0 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Taylor Hall (1 G, 1 A), 2. Sean Walker (1 G, 1 A), 3. Seth Jarvis (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    T. Hall1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Walker1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH080726221
CARCAR113112313538

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Gostisbehere(3)
    J. Kotkaniemi (3), E. Robinson (2)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:24

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis(3)
    S. Aho (7), D. Orlov (4)
    batxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:05

3rd period

  1. WSH
    J. Chychrun(3)
    M. Roy (2), P. Dubois (3)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:18
  2. CAR
    T. Hall(2)
    J. Roslovic (3), S. Walker (1)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-3
    8:24
  3. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(5)PPG
    D. Strome (9), J. Chychrun (2)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:14
  4. CAR
    S. Walker(1)
    T. Hall (4)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +8 ptsVideo
    2-4
    16:45
  5. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(7)EN
    J. Staal (1), J. Martinook (4)
    wristxG 0.86win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    17:39

Penalties

WSH 8 PIM·CAR 12 PIM

1st

  • 12:20CARSeth Jarvis · Roughingdrawn by Matt Roy2 min
  • 16:24CARJordan Martinook · High sticking double minordrawn by Jakob Chychrun4 min

2nd

  • 17:39WSHDylan Strome · Roughingdrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 17:39CARWilliam Carrier · Roughingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 17:39WSHAlex Ovechkin · Trippingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min

3rd

  • 11:14CARTaylor Hall · Trippingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 11:57CARDmitry Orlov · Interferencedrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 14:26WSHPierre-Luc Dubois · Holdingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min
  • 18:03WSHAndrew Mangiapane · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalWSH goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Seth Jarvis, 2nd 1:05 — CAR 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.86S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.17S. Walker · Goal · xG 0.14T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.13E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.10S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.09J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.09S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.08J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.07S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.02S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.01J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.00D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 2.9 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsCAR
2.12 G
All situations
4 G2.9
1.71 G
Even strength
4 G1.5
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH52%48%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 2.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsCAR
21
Shots on goal
38
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/5
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
12
39
Hits
37
23
Blocked shots
13
15
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD112-130.29230—25:52
74J. CarlsonD000-210.02130—24:08
38R. SandinD000-120.03210—22:17
43T. WilsonR000-120.26500—21:56
3M. RoyD011-210.02160—21:49
8A. OvechkinL101-130.49602—19:58
17D. StromeC011-230.252024519:45
24C. McMichaelL000-210.19110—17:19
21A. ProtasL000-100.15210—17:03
57T. van RiemsdykD000-100.01020—15:28
80P. DuboisC011010.092024615:12
26N. DowdC000-200.001308113:27
22B. DuhaimeL000-210.09300—12:31
72A. BeauvillierR000-120.07200—12:03
88A. MangiapaneL000000.00412—11:27
9R. LeonardR000000.15310—09:28
20L. EllerC000-100.000107508:51
27A. AlexeyevD000-110.01200—05:48
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
48L. Thompson(L)37334.8922.03-1.9759:41

Series

CAR leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).