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Hurricanes at Capitals
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
1
Washington Capitals
▸3
FinalTV ESPN, SN·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McMichael's goal at 2:16 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals were close — CAR 2.8, WSH 2.8; shots on goal were CAR 28, WSH 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 18 of 20 (.900); Logan Thompson stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tom Wilson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Logan Thompson (27 saves, .964), 3. John Carlson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    T. Wilson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    L. Thompson27 saves, .964
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    J. Carlson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR0704117128
WSHWSH051927321

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    C. McMichael(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:16

3rd period

  1. WSH
    J. Carlson(1)PPG
    T. Wilson (4), D. Strome (8)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:54
  2. CAR
    S. Gostisbehere(2)PPG
    S. Jarvis (4), S. Aho (6)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:26
  3. WSH
    T. Wilson(3)EN
    A. Protas (1)
    slapxG 0.82win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:00

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:11WSHPierre-Luc Dubois · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 19:23CARJalen Chatfield · Hookingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min

2nd

  • 11:45WSHPierre-Luc Dubois · Trippingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min
  • 15:08CARDmitry Orlov · Holdingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

3rd

  • 1:32CARBrent Burns · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 8:36WSHConnor McMichael · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalCAR goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Connor McMichael, 2nd 2:16 — WSH 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.82T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.19A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.18A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.17J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.13N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.13C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.13C. McMichael · Goal · xG 0.11A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.10J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.10J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.08T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.06B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.06A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.05A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.04T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.04C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.04J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.03A. Alexeyev · Missed · xG 0.03C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Alexeyev · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01A. Alexeyev · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.00D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 2.8 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsWSH
2.81 G
All situations
2 G2.8
1.80 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
1.01 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR65%35%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 1.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsWSH
28
Shots on goal
21
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
36
Hits
26
10
Blocked shots
33
10
Giveaways
21
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000000.01020—20:46
8B. BurnsD000-100.06012—20:26
20S. AhoC011-110.063205319:22
7D. OrlovD000030.10222—19:20
53J. BlakeR000-120.51000—19:05
37A. SvechnikovR000-110.11500—18:45
4S. GostisbehereD101-260.42100—18:29
26S. WalkerD000-140.23110—18:27
5J. ChatfieldD000020.04002—18:14
48J. MartinookL000000.14200—17:02
11J. StaalC000010.073103916:47
22L. StankovenC000-110.05200016:43
24S. JarvisR011-120.10600—16:26
71T. HallL000-110.38300—15:08
96J. RoslovicC000010.191006014:40
82J. KotkaniemiC000-100.203108312:05
28W. CarrierL000010.0420010008:20
50E. RobinsonL000020.04200—06:58
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(L)20182.9001.95-0.0558:35

Series

CAR leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).