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Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV ESPN, FDSNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Los Angeles Kings 6-4. The Kings scored first; the Oilers answered. The Oilers led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Darnell Nurse's goal at 14:59 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.8 to 3.6; shots on goal were LAK 27, EDM 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 1.4 goals below expected; Calvin Pickard stopped 23 of 27 (.852). Three stars: 1. Zach Hyman (1 G, 1 A), 2. Darnell Nurse (1 G, 1 A), 3. Drew Doughty (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    D. Nurse1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    D. Doughty1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK21015112427
EDMEDM3142817629

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.20win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:19
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.35win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:04
  3. LAK
    snapxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:37
  4. EDM
    snapxG 0.12win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:55
  5. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:49

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    14:59
  2. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.34win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-5
    16:35
  3. LAK
    snapxG 0.10win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-5
    18:01

3rd period

  1. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-5
    19:05
  2. EDM
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.69win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-6
    19:58

Penalties

LAK 2 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:20LAKAlex Laferriere · Boardingdrawn by Vasily Podkolzin2 min
  • 7:38EDMViktor Arvidsson · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Darcy Kuemper2 min

3rd

  • 7:49EDMZach Hyman · High stickingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalLAK goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Darnell Nurse, 2nd 14:59 — EDM 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Brown · Goal · xG 0.69C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.50A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.35T. Frederic · Goal · xG 0.34E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.32C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.20T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.19V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.18L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.15C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.15A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.13C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.12R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.11E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.07D. Nurse · Goal · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.02J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.00A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.00D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.00
EDM6 G · 4.8 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsEDM
3.64 G
All situations
5 G4.8
2.14 G
Even strength
4 G3.2
1.50 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK50%50%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.53 – 3.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsEDM
27
Shots on goal
29
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
34
Hits
26
18
Blocked shots
29
16
Giveaways
10
1
Takeaways
0

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011-210.05410—28:03
22K. FialaL022030.14500—22:56
9A. KempeR000-110.11100—20:57
55Q. ByfieldR101-230.483106420:37
11A. KopitarC101-120.402006519:58
44M. AndersonD000-220.31210—19:45
6J. EdmundsonD000000.09010—19:12
12T. MooreL000+220.41110—18:13
24P. DanaultC011+120.181104117:37
37W. FoegeleL000+120.35410—17:01
96A. KuzmenkoL000-230.16010—16:50
84V. GavrikovD000+100.00010—16:33
14A. LaferriereR022+110.14302—16:21
92B. ClarkeD101020.56010—14:44
21J. SpenceD101+110.10230—10:53
15A. TurcotteC000-100.00110007:50
79S. HeleniusC011010.042007107:50
39J. MalottL000-110.08340—07:17
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)28235.8213.59-1.4155:48

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).