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Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV ESPN2, FDSNW·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-5. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Phillip Danault's goal at 19:18 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 52% to 98%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 4.9 to 2.9; shots on goal were EDM 25, LAK 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 24 of 30 (.800), 2.7 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Phillip Danault (2 G), 2. Adrian Kempe (1 G, 2 A), 3. Kevin Fiala (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    P. Danault2 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kempe1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    K. Fiala1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM0614415525
LAKLAK2829213630

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.28win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:49
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:27

2nd period

  1. LAK
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    14:47
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.14win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-4
    17:43
  3. EDM
    slapxG 0.19win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-4
    19:54

3rd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.44win prob +6 ptsVideo
    2-4
    2:19
  2. LAK
    K. Fiala(1)PPG
    slapxG 0.14win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-5
    4:59
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.14win prob +4 ptsVideo
    3-5
    7:43
  4. EDM
    wristxG 0.15win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-5
    17:56
  5. EDM
    wristxG 0.08win prob +43 ptsVideo
    5-5
    18:32
  6. LAK
    wristxG 0.06win prob +46 ptsVideo
    5-6
    19:18

Penalties

EDM 10 PIM·LAK 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:08EDMBrett Kulak · Holding the stickdrawn by Jeff Malott2 min
  • 7:26LAKDrew Doughty · Cross checkingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

3rd

  • 3:16EDMZach Hyman · Illegal check to headdrawn by Brandt Clarke2 min
  • 4:55EDMJake Walman · Roughingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 8:53EDMJake Walman · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:53EDMserved by C. Perry · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 13:14LAKMikey Anderson · Hookingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalEDM goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Phillip Danault, 3rd 19:18 — LAK 52% → 98%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.55D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.54T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.42A. Kuzmenko · Goal · xG 0.28K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.27K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.20A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.17A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.15A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.15K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.14P. Danault · Goal · xG 0.14A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.14K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.14K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.13K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.11W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.11K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.08K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.08W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.08W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.07W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.06T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.06P. Danault · Goal · xG 0.06T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.06A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.06Q. Byfield · Goal · xG 0.05A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.04K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.04V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.03Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.03D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.03T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.02A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.01B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.01D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.00
LAK6 G · 4.9 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsLAK
2.95 G
All situations
6 G4.9
2.05 G
Even strength
4 G1.5
0.80 G
Power play
2 G1.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM43%57%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.90 – 3.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsLAK
25
Shots on goal
30
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
42
Hits
30
14
Blocked shots
14
11
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD033+140.14020—28:20
25D. NurseD000-130.13260—25:17
27B. KulakD000000.02002—24:58
97C. McDavidC134+130.255005823:21
29L. DraisaitlC112+340.762005022:02
96J. WalmanD000+100.14424—19:35
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-110.110005619:21
18Z. HymanL101-110.15602—17:56
90C. PerryR112+410.14200—15:10
49T. EmbersonD000000.00100—13:10
33V. ArvidssonL000020.13000—12:57
28C. BrownR000000.11200—12:42
19A. HenriqueC000010.065105011:52
92V. PodkolzinR000010.13400—11:17
53J. SkinnerL011-210.11500—11:12
13M. JanmarkC101+110.472005010:49
21T. FredericC011020.04200009:11
44J. BrownD000+100.01030—04:54
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)30246.8003.34-2.6657:32

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).