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Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV TNT, truTV·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Los Angeles Kings 7-4. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Kings led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evander Kane's goal at 13:18 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 15% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 5.3 to 2.6; shots on goal were LAK 28, EDM 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 1.6 goals below expected; Calvin Pickard stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evan Bouchard (2 G), 2. Adrian Kempe (1 G, 1 A), 3. Leon Draisaitl (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard2 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kempe1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK11031008428
EDMEDM212112413737

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.19win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:49
  2. EDM
    slapxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    8:43
  3. LAK
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:18

2nd period

  1. LAK
    K. Fiala(2)PPG
    snapxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:43
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.03win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-2
    15:07
  3. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-3
    17:19
  4. LAK
    pokexG 0.05win prob +22 ptsVideo
    4-3
    17:28

3rd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.39win prob +37 ptsVideo
    4-4
    13:18
  2. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +27 ptsVideo
    4-5
    13:28
  3. EDM
    snapxG 0.95win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-6
    18:20
  4. EDM
    snapxG 0.94Video
    4-7
    19:52

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:40LAKAndrei Kuzmenko · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 16:52LAKJoel Edmundson · Slashingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 16:52EDMLeon Draisaitl · Slashingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min

2nd

  • 3:55EDMEvander Kane · High stickingdrawn by Jeff Malott2 min
  • 13:28EDMJake Walman · Interferencedrawn by Warren Foegele2 min

3rd

  • 13:18LAKserved by A. Laferriere · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalLAK goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Evander Kane, 3rd 13:18 — EDM 15% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.95C. Brown · Goal · xG 0.94E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.39J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.22L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.22R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.19E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.18V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.16J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.15C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.13T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13E. Bouchard · Goal · xG 0.11E. Bouchard · Goal · xG 0.11C. Brown · Goal · xG 0.11T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.10V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.06B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.05J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.04J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.03A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.02C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.02T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.01C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.00B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.00D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM7 G · 5.3 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsEDM
2.64 G
All situations
5 G5.3
2.02 G
Even strength
3 G3.0
0.62 G
Power play
2 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK37%63%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.52 – 3.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsEDM
28
Shots on goal
37
41%
Faceoffs
59%
2/2
Power play
2/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
31
Hits
39
29
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD112-340.09000—27:54
44M. AndersonD000-210.11500—26:40
11A. KopitarC022-420.471404322:11
9A. KempeR112-330.510202521:19
84V. GavrikovD000-100.01110—21:18
6J. EdmundsonD011+100.00132—21:10
22K. FialaL101-270.54430—21:03
37W. FoegeleL000020.15600—20:02
55Q. ByfieldR000-210.121005019:43
12T. MooreL112+110.05720—19:41
24P. DanaultC022+100.001504518:56
96A. KuzmenkoL000-420.09012—18:35
14A. LaferriereR000-120.20120—16:10
92B. ClarkeD000+110.01030—11:34
39J. MalottL000010.19210—04:39
61T. LewisC000000.01010003:01
21J. SpenceD000010.01000—02:55
79S. HeleniusC000000.00110002:31
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)35305.8573.42-1.5858:25

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).