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Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers

Final/OTTV TBS, truTV·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-3 in overtime, Leon Draisaitl scoring at 18:18. The Oilers came back from two goals down. The Kings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evan Bouchard's goal at 19:31 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 3% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 5.4 to 3.2; shots on goal were LAK 41, EDM 48. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 44 of 48 (.917), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Calvin Pickard stopped 38 of 41 (.927). Three stars: 1. Evan Bouchard (2 G), 2. Phillip Danault (2 A), 3. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard2 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    P. Danault2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
LAKLAK1142140607341
EDMEDM0619216117448

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:35

2nd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    1:31
  2. EDM
    C. Perry(2)PPG
    batxG 0.47win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:11
  3. LAK
    snapxG 0.21win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    7:32

3rd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-2
    7:51
  2. EDM
    slapxG 0.05win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-3
    19:31

Overtime

  1. EDM
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.15win prob +48 ptsVideo
    3-4
    18:18

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:27EDMConnor McDavid · Hookingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min
  • 15:58EDMMattias Janmark · Trippingdrawn by Alex Laferriere2 min

2nd

  • 3:04LAKAdrian Kempe · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 10:20EDMViktor Arvidsson · High stickingdrawn by Quinton Byfield2 min
  • 12:01LAKDrew Doughty · Holding the stickdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min

OT

  • 17:34LAKVladislav Gavrikov · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalLAK goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Evan Bouchard, 3rd 19:31 — EDM 3% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.47L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.29A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.26L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.22L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.21C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.18J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.18E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.16J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.15A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.15E. Bouchard · Goal · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.13C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.08T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.08C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.08M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.06C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.06D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · Goal · xG 0.05E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.02J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01T. Emberson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.00D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 5.4 xG · 79 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsEDM
3.23 G
All situations
4 G5.4
2.83 G
Even strength
2 G3.6
0.30 G
Power play
2 G1.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 139 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK22%78%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.12 – 5.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsEDM
41
Shots on goal
48
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/3
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
44
Hits
53
32
Blocked shots
12
12
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. EdmundsonD000010.11480—36:16
44M. AndersonD000+100.01710—34:14
8D. DoughtyD000+110.00222—32:57
84V. GavrikovD000030.04112—31:40
55Q. ByfieldR000060.253003028:31
24P. DanaultC022+150.140506327:49
22K. FialaL101+150.88220—27:13
14A. LaferriereR011+130.29520—25:59
11A. KopitarC000-110.451107125:33
12T. MooreL101+120.21410—25:13
37W. FoegeleL101+190.6103010024:26
9A. KempeR000-140.17322—24:20
96A. KuzmenkoL000010.00200—19:38
92B. ClarkeD000000.00110—11:58
61T. LewisC000000.00500005:19
39J. MalottL000000.00010—02:27
43J. MoverareD000000.00020—02:26
79S. HeleniusC000000.00400001:44
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)48444.9175.39+1.3978:14

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).