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Devils at Hurricanes
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
4
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
Final/2OTTV TBS, MAX·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 5-4 in double overtime, Sebastian Aho scoring at 4:17. The Hurricanes came back from three goals down. It was tied 4-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 4:17 of the second overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were NJD 35, CAR 54. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 49 of 54 (.907); Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jackson Blake (1 G), 3. Shayne Gostisbehere (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Blake1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Gostisbehere2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOT2OTT
NJDNJD313110080301435
CARCAR0941101501415554

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    D. Mercer(2)
    B. Pesce (2)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:46
  2. NJD
    T. Meier(2)
    B. Pesce (3)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:31
  3. NJD
    S. Noesen(1)
    S. Nemec (1), D. Hamilton (2)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    9:55

2nd period

  1. CAR
    T. Hall(1)
    L. Stankoven (1), J. Slavin (2)
    snapxG 0.54win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    1:46
  2. CAR
    J. Blake(1)
    M. Jankowski (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:01
  3. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(5)
    D. Orlov (2), S. Aho (5)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-3
    5:40
  4. NJD
    N. Hischier(4)
    P. Cotter (1), S. Noesen (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-3
    7:26
  5. CAR
    S. Aho(2)PPG
    S. Jarvis (2), S. Gostisbehere (2)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-4
    11:27

2OT overtime

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(3)PPG
    S. Gostisbehere (3), S. Jarvis (3)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +48 ptsVideo
    4-5
    4:17

Penalties

NJD 12 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:52CAREric Robinson · Interferencedrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min
  • 19:42NJDCody Glass · Interferencedrawn by Sean Walker2 min

2nd

  • 9:37NJDTomas Tatar · Trippingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 10:43NJDErik Haula · Trippingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

3rd

  • 4:30NJDDawson Mercer · Trippingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min
  • 7:50CARJackson Blake · Roughingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 12:27CARSeth Jarvis · Holdingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min

2OT

  • 1:10NJDDawson Mercer · High sticking double minordrawn by Jesperi Kotkaniemi4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNJD goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, 2OT 4:17 — CAR 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.54S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.20S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.20S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.18S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.18S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.17L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.15A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.12J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.11S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.11L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.11J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.10T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.10L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.09J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.09S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.08J. Blake · Goal · xG 0.07L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.06S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.06L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.04S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.04J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.04S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.04W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.02J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.02J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.00S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 4.6 xG · 86 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCAR
2.24 G
All situations
5 G4.6
1.84 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.40 G
Power play
2 G1.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 127 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD17%83%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 4.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCAR
35
Shots on goal
54
48%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
39
Hits
46
25
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
21
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2B. DumoulinD000010.01230—37:19
71J. SiegenthalerD000-120.05430—32:27
22B. PesceD022+120.01040—32:17
13N. HischierC101+140.293104931:02
63J. BrattL000-160.40130—27:59
17S. NemecD011+110.06000—27:57
7D. HamiltonD011+120.27110—26:27
28T. MeierR101+150.32730—24:59
18O. PalatL000+220.07210—24:33
91D. MercerC101-210.08106024:25
56E. HaulaL000-120.182126323:51
12C. GlassC000-110.050124018:10
11S. NoesenR112+210.1010010017:17
47P. CotterL011+120.16900—16:07
90T. TatarL000+120.13002—13:07
14N. BastianR000010.05310—12:46
37J. DowlingC000000.002106310:42
24S. CaseyD000000.00120—09:13
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)54495.9074.61-0.3984:07

Series

CAR leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).