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New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes

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Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 4-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Stankoven's goal at 6:37 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 70% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.1 to 1.6; shots on goal were NJD 24, CAR 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 41 of 44 (.932); Frederik Andersen stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Stankoven (2 G), 2. Frederik Andersen (23 saves, .958), 3. Jalen Chatfield (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    L. Stankoven2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    F. Andersen23 saves, .958
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Chatfield1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD0518011124
CARCAR11722117445

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    snapxG 0.02win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:24

2nd period

  1. CAR
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:37
  2. CAR
    snapxG 0.07win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    13:08
  3. NJD
    snapxG 0.07win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:51

3rd period

  1. CAR
    wristxG 0.83Video
    1-4
    17:32

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:21CARJalen Chatfield · Cross checkingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 6:03NJDserved by P. Cotter · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:18NJDTimo Meier · Trippingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min

2nd

  • 11:27NJDDawson Mercer · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:25CARShayne Gostisbehere · Roughingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 18:25NJDTimo Meier · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

3rd

  • 12:10CARJackson Blake · Hookingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNJD goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Logan Stankoven, 2nd 6:37 — CAR 70% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.83A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.18E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.16A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.16J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.15J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.13L. Stankoven · Goal · xG 0.12D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.12A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.12J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.11E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.10S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.10J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.10S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.09J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.07L. Stankoven · Goal · xG 0.07T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.07J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.05E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.05J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.05D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.05L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.05J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.04L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.03J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · Goal · xG 0.02J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.00B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.00B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 4.1 xG · 65 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCAR
1.61 G
All situations
3 G4.1
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD22%78%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.58 – 3.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCAR
24
Shots on goal
45
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/2
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
52
Hits
41
13
Blocked shots
16
12
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
0

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2B. DumoulinD000-100.00110—24:50
22B. PesceD011020.07000—23:07
43L. HughesD000-120.04010—22:20
7D. HamiltonD000020.15410—20:52
13N. HischierC101-130.191305920:20
63J. BrattL011-130.07210—19:42
91D. MercerC000-110.374024319:18
56E. HaulaL000010.045007517:27
28T. MeierR000-120.45614—16:56
8J. KovacevicD000-110.01100—16:05
11S. NoesenR000-210.05200—15:12
47P. CotterL000-100.00410—13:04
18O. PalatL000010.01610—12:30
37J. DowlingC000020.103005511:17
10D. SprongR000-100.00220—11:07
14N. BastianR000020.08500—10:36
12C. GlassC000-110.002108209:04
5B. DillonD000000.00400—08:53
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)44413.9323.25+0.2559:46

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).