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Hurricanes at Devils
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
New Jersey Devils
2
FinalTV TBS, truTV·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 5-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Timo Meier's goal at 7:34 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 18% to 35%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.0 to 1.7; shots on goal were CAR 29, NJD 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 14 of 15 (.933); Jacob Markstrom stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Svechnikov (3 G), 2. Timo Meier (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jaccob Slavin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov3 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    T. Meier1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Slavin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR28111210529
NJDNJD0421107222

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(2)
    B. Burns (1), J. Blake (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:52
  2. CAR
    J. Slavin(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    9:47

2nd period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(3)PPG
    S. Jarvis (1), S. Aho (3)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-0
    0:42
  2. NJD
    N. Hischier(3)
    O. Palat (2), T. Meier (2)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-1
    2:45
  3. NJD
    T. Meier(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    7:34

3rd period

  1. CAR
    B. Burns(1)
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    4-2
    14:14
  2. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(4)EN
    J. Blake (3), S. Aho (4)
    wristxG 0.84win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    16:43

Penalties

CAR 14 PIM·NJD 16 PIM

1st

  • 16:03CARSean Walker · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min
  • 19:29NJDDougie Hamilton · Interferencedrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

2nd

  • 13:59CARDmitry Orlov · Hookingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min
  • 17:16NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min

3rd

  • 0:52NJDDougie Hamilton · High stickingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 17:57CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:57NJDStefan Noesen · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalCAR goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Timo Meier, 2nd 7:34 — NJD 18% → 35%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.18D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.15C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.12N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.12N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.11T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.11J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.06D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.06D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.06N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.05E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.05J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.04E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.03S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.00D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 1.7 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNJD
3.04 G
All situations
2 G1.7
1.63 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR59%41%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.11 – 1.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNJD
29
Shots on goal
22
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/3
Power play
0/2
14
Penalty minutes
16
35
Hits
31
17
Blocked shots
21
9
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. OrlovD000+100.00332—22:51
5J. ChatfieldD000010.03210—21:45
74J. SlavinD101+220.04030—20:25
8B. BurnsD112+120.12020—19:11
20S. AhoC022+300.153106918:11
53J. BlakeR022+220.200006717:19
24S. JarvisR011+120.222002517:15
4S. GostisbehereD000010.00010—16:47
48J. MartinookL000000.076303316:03
26S. WalkerD000020.00112—15:45
37A. SvechnikovR303+261.21500—15:13
22L. StankovenC000020.18000014:47
11J. StaalC000-110.132006914:43
50E. RobinsonL000040.13600—14:00
77M. JankowskiL000020.361105613:26
71T. HallL000010.06200—13:18
28W. CarrierL000-110.03110—12:33
82J. KotkaniemiC000000.0410103812:28
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov15141.9331.16+0.1635:41
31F. Andersen(W)761.8570.53-0.4724:19

Series

CAR leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).