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New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes

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Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 3-1. The Devils scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Martinook's goal at 5:54 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 49% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.8 to 3.5; shots on goal were NJD 26, CAR 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Frederik Andersen (25 saves, .962), 2. Jordan Martinook (1 G, 1 A), 3. Shayne Gostisbehere (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    F. Andersen25 saves, .962
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Martinook1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Gostisbehere1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD190908126
CARCAR06212110328

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.36win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:51

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Blake (1), S. Aho (1)
    snapxG 0.34win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:57
  2. CAR
    snapxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:54

3rd period

  1. CAR
    pokexG 0.92win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:23

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:53NJDOndrej Palat · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 13:09NJDPaul Cotter · Trippingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

2nd

  • 5:41CARSebastian Aho · Slashingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min
  • 7:03NJDTimo Meier · Roughingdrawn by Jalen Chatfield2 min
  • 7:03CARJalen Chatfield · Roughingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 13:14CARJackson Blake · High stickingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min

3rd

  • 5:55CARJordan Staal · Trippingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 9:13NJDSimon Nemec · Trippingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNJD goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Martinook, 2nd 5:54 — CAR 49% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.92S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.34S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.24S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.20S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.20S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.18E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.14A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.14J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.14W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.14A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.11S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.10J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.10L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.09J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.09S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.09T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.09J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.07J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.06T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.05J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.05J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.04E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.04W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.04W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.03J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.03S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.00D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.00E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 4.8 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCAR
3.51 G
All situations
2 G4.8
1.91 G
Even strength
1 G3.2
1.60 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD43%57%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.35 – 3.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCAR
26
Shots on goal
28
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
51
Hits
31
9
Blocked shots
14
15
Giveaways
15
8
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. HamiltonD011-110.23000—23:59
2B. DumoulinD000-100.00510—23:48
22B. PesceD000+110.04160—23:14
63J. BrattL101-230.47000—20:32
8J. KovacevicD000-100.08700—19:54
13N. HischierC000-230.343006019:12
28T. MeierR000-251.13202—18:03
91D. MercerC000-120.136002518:03
11S. NoesenR000-220.2410010015:20
56E. HaulaL011010.136005014:21
17S. NemecD000000.02102—14:12
37J. DowlingC000020.282003813:19
18O. PalatL000010.03102—13:15
14N. BastianR000010.20520—12:30
47P. CotterL000020.10402—12:16
90T. TatarL000000.00400—12:10
12C. GlassC000020.073004411:25
44D. CholowskiD000000.00000—09:12
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)27252.9263.90+1.9059:15

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).