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Capitals at Canadiens
NHL

Washington Capitals at Montréal Canadiens

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Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Mangiapane's goal at 16:23 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 48% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.8 to 1.8; shots on goal were WSH 26, MTL 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 16 of 18 (.889); Jakub Dobes stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Strome (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mike Matheson, 3. Brandon Duhaime (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    D. Strome1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    M. Matheson
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    B. Duhaime2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0611149526
MTLMTL052409218

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:25
  2. MTL
    snapxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:33
  3. MTL
    slapxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:32

3rd period

  1. WSH
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:39
  2. WSH
    snapxG 0.05win prob +43 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:23
  3. WSH
    snapxG 0.55win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-2
    17:21
  4. WSH
    snapxG 0.73Video
    5-2
    19:05

Penalties

WSH 10 PIM·MTL 12 PIM

1st

  • 2:47WSHAlexander Alexeyev · Interferencedrawn by Emil Heineman2 min
  • 11:35MTLKaiden Guhle · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 16:28MTLArber Xhekaj · Interferencedrawn by Alexander Alexeyev2 min

2nd

  • 4:54MTLChristian Dvorak · High stickingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 6:11MTLJoel Armia · Hookingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 9:16WSHNic Dowd · Interferencedrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 16:05MTLJosh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 18:02WSHAlex Ovechkin · Interferencedrawn by Jake Evans2 min

3rd

  • 0:37WSHJakob Chychrun · Roughingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
  • 0:37WSHJohn Carlson · Slashingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
  • 0:37MTLChristian Dvorak · Roughingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalWSH goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Andrew Mangiapane, 3rd 16:23 — WSH 48% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.22N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.17J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.15C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.13J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Slafkovský · Goal · xG 0.11C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.11A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.10A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.09L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.07C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.06A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.03L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.03L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.02K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.02C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.02I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.01J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.00J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.00L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 1.8 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsMTL
3.83 G
All situations
2 G1.8
1.63 G
Even strength
0 G1.2
0.90 G
Power play
2 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH64%36%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 1.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsMTL
26
Shots on goal
18
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/5
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
12
26
Hits
34
12
Blocked shots
13
8
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD011+310.16022—26:15
74J. CarlsonD000+210.47012—25:13
3M. RoyD000+200.01400—22:21
43T. WilsonR101+230.97600—21:16
8A. OvechkinL000+250.50002—19:55
38R. SandinD000+200.05110—19:45
80P. DuboisC000+130.101006519:34
24C. McMichaelL011+240.170005018:43
17D. StromeC112+220.380005618:25
57T. van RiemsdykD022+100.00010—14:51
22B. DuhaimeL202+230.72520—13:16
88A. MangiapaneL101+120.13020—12:26
26N. DowdC011+200.071026412:06
72A. BeauvillierR011+120.03110—11:48
16T. RaddyshR000000.00210—10:17
20L. EllerC000000.002005609:39
9R. LeonardR000000.00200—09:25
27A. AlexeyevD000000.00112—08:58
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
48L. Thompson(W)18162.8891.77-0.2360:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).