Washington Capitals at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Washington Capitals beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Mangiapane's goal at 16:23 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 48% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.8 to 1.8; shots on goal were WSH 26, MTL 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 16 of 18 (.889); Jakub Dobes stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Strome (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mike Matheson, 3. Brandon Duhaime (2 G).
Three stars
- ★D. Strome1 G, 1 A

- ★★M. Matheson

- ★★★B. Duhaime2 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals2nd period
1-01:25
1-110:33
1-218:32
3rd period
2-26:39
3-216:23
4-217:21
5-219:05
Penalties
1st
- 2:47
Alexander Alexeyev · Interferencedrawn by Emil Heineman2 min
- 11:35
Kaiden Guhle · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
- 16:28
Arber Xhekaj · Interferencedrawn by Alexander Alexeyev2 min
2nd
- 4:54
Christian Dvorak · High stickingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
- 6:11
Joel Armia · Hookingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
- 9:16
Nic Dowd · Interferencedrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
- 16:05
Josh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
- 18:02
Alex Ovechkin · Interferencedrawn by Jake Evans2 min
3rd
- 0:37
Jakob Chychrun · Roughingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
- 0:37
John Carlson · Slashingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
- 0:37
Christian Dvorak · Roughingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Andrew Mangiapane, 3rd 16:23 — 48% → 91%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.83 G
- All situations
- 2 G1.8
- 1.63 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.2
- 0.90 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 1.77
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 26
- Shots on goal
- 18
- 58%
- Faceoffs
- 42%
- 0/5
- Power play
- 2/4
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 12
- 26
- Hits
- 34
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 8
- Giveaways
- 12
- 4
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Series
WSH leads 4-1
2@
3OTFinal
1@
3Final
3@
6Final
5@
2this game
1@
4Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















