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Capitals at Canadiens
NHL

Washington Capitals at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV TNT, truTV·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Washington Capitals 6-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Canadiens led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Christian Dvorak's goal at 4:17 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 4.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were WSH 21, MTL 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 1.3 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 11 of 13 (.846), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (1 G, 1 A), 2. Alexandre Carrier (1 G), 3. Juraj Slafkovský (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Caufield1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    A. Carrier1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Slafkovský1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH171717321
MTLMTL115211314640

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    M. Roy (1), R. Sandin (1)
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:20
  2. MTL
    snapxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:07

2nd period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(2)PPG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:37
  2. WSH
    slapxG 0.10win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:47
  3. MTL
    snapxG 0.18win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:51

3rd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.21win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-3
    2:39
  2. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.02win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-4
    4:17
  3. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-5
    13:23
  4. MTL
    snapxG 0.21Video
    3-6
    17:35

Penalties

WSH 24 PIM·MTL 18 PIM

1st

  • 7:31WSHRyan Leonard · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 9:47MTLAlex Newhook · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Leonard2 min
  • 19:21MTLNick Suzuki · Slashingdrawn by Logan Thompson2 min

2nd

  • 8:33WSHBrandon Duhaime · Illegal check to headdrawn by David Savard2 min
  • 11:39WSHBrandon Duhaime · Interferencedrawn by Alex Newhook2 min
  • 20:00MTLArber Xhekaj · Roughingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 20:00WSHLars Eller · Roughingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj2 min
  • 20:00WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 20:00MTLJosh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 20:00MTLJosh Anderson · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00WSHTom Wilson · Misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 6:19WSHTrevor van Riemsdyk · Interferencedrawn by Alex Newhook2 min
  • 15:37WSHJakob Chychrun · Cross checkingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalWSH goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Christian Dvorak, 3rd 4:17 — MTL 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.28A. Newhook · Goal · xG 0.21C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.18J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.18N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.17C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.16B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.15C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.14C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.14J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.13C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.13A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.12J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.11J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.11J. Slafkovský · Goal · xG 0.10C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.10N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.10J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.09A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.08I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.08N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.08I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.08C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.08A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.07E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.07B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.06J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.05M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.04L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.04J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.03L. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.03J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.03K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.03J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Carrier · Goal · xG 0.03C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.02C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.02A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.02J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.01A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.00M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.00A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.00C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.00B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.00
MTL6 G · 4.0 xG · 61 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsMTL
2.13 G
All situations
6 G4.0
1.43 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
0.70 G
Power play
2 G1.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH20%80%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 3.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsMTL
21
Shots on goal
40
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
2/5
24
Penalty minutes
18
26
Hits
45
19
Blocked shots
11
17
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3M. RoyD011-200.00140—25:53
74J. CarlsonD000+120.15020—24:45
6J. ChychrunD101030.37152—21:58
38R. SandinD011-120.02030—20:30
57T. van RiemsdykD000+100.00002—16:52
17D. StromeC011-120.201202016:51
24C. McMichaelL101010.2210010016:47
80P. DuboisC000000.002105716:02
8A. OvechkinL101020.25100—15:16
22B. DuhaimeL000-210.10104—15:02
26N. DowdC000-110.133205315:02
43T. WilsonR000010.304012—14:41
72A. BeauvillierR011+110.06400—13:05
16T. RaddyshR000-200.00300—12:40
20L. EllerC011+100.001025012:11
9R. LeonardR000+120.07102—12:00
88A. MangiapaneL011020.111005011:56
27A. AlexeyevD000-110.06100—10:27
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
48L. Thompson(L)35305.8573.71-1.2953:23
79C. Lindgren541.8000.33-0.6706:37

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).