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Canadiens at Capitals
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Washington Capitals

FinalTV ESPN, MNMT·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-1. The Canadiens scored first; the Capitals answered. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Strome's goal at 4:47 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.9 to 2.7; shots on goal were MTL 26, WSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Logan Thompson stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Thompson (25 saves, .962), 2. Samuel Montembeault (29 saves, .935), 3. Dylan Strome (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    L. Thompson25 saves, .962
  2. ★★
    MTL
    S. Montembeault29 saves, .935
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    D. Strome1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL0418014126
WSHWSH0921815332

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.42win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:16
  2. WSH
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:47
  3. WSH
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:47

3rd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.58win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:58

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:14MTLJosh Anderson · Boardingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 8:14MTLJosh Anderson · Cross checkingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 8:14WSHTom Wilson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min

2nd

  • 5:08WSHMatt Roy · Cross checkingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 17:41WSHNic Dowd · Interferencedrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min

3rd

  • 20:00MTLJosh Anderson · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 20:00WSHBrandon Duhaime · Slashingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalMTL goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan Strome, 2nd 4:47 — WSH 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McMichael · Goal · xG 0.58D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.27T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.22N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.20R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.19T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.18R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.15J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.14A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.14N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.13T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.12C. McMichael · Goal · xG 0.11A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.11A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.10A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.09C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.09T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.08D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.08D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.07D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.07D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.06C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.05R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.05B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.05R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.04T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.03T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.02T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.01B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Alexeyev · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 3.9 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsWSH
2.71 G
All situations
2 G3.9
2.31 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL39%61%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 3.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsWSH
26
Shots on goal
32
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
0/1
6
Penalty minutes
8
28
Hits
37
12
Blocked shots
24
19
Giveaways
16
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48L. HutsonD000000.07100—25:36
8M. MathesonD000-130.10010—25:07
14N. SuzukiC000-200.071005823:58
45A. CarrierD000-110.09130—22:46
20J. SlafkovskýL000-250.63310—22:33
21K. GuhleD000+130.04110—20:25
13C. CaufieldR000-230.31000—20:16
11B. GallagherR011-110.02100—18:04
28C. DvorakC101020.561105018:01
15A. NewhookC000-110.143004016:56
71J. EvansC000010.092205014:45
17J. AndersonR011020.1260610013:18
93I. DemidovR000000.00200—12:50
47J. StrubleD000-110.01000—10:27
92P. LaineL000010.19110—10:10
58D. SavardD000-110.02200—09:35
51E. HeinemanL000010.19220—07:39
40J. ArmiaR000000.00100—07:27
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(L)31292.9353.34+1.3458:07

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).