Montréal Canadiens at Washington Capitals
Recap
written from the game dataThe Washington Capitals beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-1. The Canadiens scored first; the Capitals answered. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Strome's goal at 4:47 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.9 to 2.7; shots on goal were MTL 26, WSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Logan Thompson stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Thompson (25 saves, .962), 2. Samuel Montembeault (29 saves, .935), 3. Dylan Strome (1 G).
Three stars
- ★L. Thompson25 saves, .962

- ★★S. Montembeault29 saves, .935

- ★★★D. Strome1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals2nd period
1-01:16
1-13:47
1-24:47
3rd period
1-319:58
Penalties
1st
- 8:14
Josh Anderson · Boardingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
- 8:14
Josh Anderson · Cross checkingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
- 8:14
Tom Wilson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
2nd
- 5:08
Matt Roy · Cross checkingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
- 17:41
Nic Dowd · Interferencedrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
3rd
- 20:00
Josh Anderson · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
- 20:00
Brandon Duhaime · Slashingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Dylan Strome, 2nd 4:47 — 53% → 70%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.71 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.9
- 2.31 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.7
- 0.40 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 3.28
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 26
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 28
- Hits
- 37
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 24
- 19
- Giveaways
- 16
- 7
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Series
WSH leads 4-1
2@
3OTFinal
1@
3this game
3@
6Final
5@
2Final
1@
4Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















