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Canadiens at Capitals
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Washington Capitals

FinalTV ESPN, MNMT·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakob Chychrun's goal at 11:15 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals were close — MTL 3.9, WSH 3.7; shots on goal were MTL 29, WSH 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Logan Thompson stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Thompson (28 saves, .966), 2. Tom Wilson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dylan Strome (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    L. Thompson28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    WSH
    T. Wilson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    D. Strome2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL0906114129
WSHWSH2111918428

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    slapxG 0.01win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:12
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:15

2nd period

  1. WSH
    T. Wilson(2)PPG
    snapxG 0.31win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-3
    16:59

3rd period

  1. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    2:40
  2. WSH
    snapxG 0.92Video
    1-4
    19:34

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·WSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:06WSHPierre-Luc Dubois · Interferencedrawn by Ivan Demidov2 min
  • 8:34MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 13:50WSHBrandon Duhaime · Roughingdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min

2nd

  • 5:45MTLMike Matheson · Slashingdrawn by Aliaksei Protas2 min
  • 16:41MTLJake Evans · Holdingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalMTL goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Jakob Chychrun, 1st 11:15 — WSH 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Duhaime · Goal · xG 0.92T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.31T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.23J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.18A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.17B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.16A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.15A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.13B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.13A. Alexeyev · On goal · xG 0.12J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.12C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.10N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.09C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.07T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.07J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.06R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.04R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.02C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.01C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.01D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.01P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH4 G · 3.7 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsWSH
3.91 G
All situations
3 G3.7
2.51 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
1.20 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL67%33%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.76 – 2.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsWSH
29
Shots on goal
28
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
44
Hits
29
9
Blocked shots
23
5
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48L. HutsonD000-220.24010—27:11
45A. CarrierD000020.01040—23:12
14N. SuzukiC000-230.475006822:36
8M. MathesonD000030.03012—22:03
21K. GuhleD000020.18300—21:18
13C. CaufieldR000-230.62300—19:16
20J. SlafkovskýL000-200.19702—19:00
93I. DemidovR000-100.06110—18:21
28C. DvorakC000010.012006317:47
15A. NewhookC000000.11200016:27
17J. AndersonR000040.53400—16:19
71J. EvansC000010.063025315:25
11B. GallagherR000-140.77500—15:17
58D. SavardD000000.00120—10:50
72A. XhekajD000+110.01200—09:59
40J. ArmiaR011+100.00200—09:53
51E. HeinemanL101+120.20200—07:37
91O. KapanenC011+110.372005007:10
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(L)27243.8892.81-0.1957:23

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).