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Capitals at Penguins
NHL

Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
2
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸5
FinalTV ESPN, SN·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Washington Capitals 5-2. The Capitals scored first; the Penguins answered. The Penguins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Danton Heinen's goal at 8:46 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 79% to 96%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were WSH 20, PIT 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Clay Stevenson stopped 33 of 38 (.868), 1.4 goals below expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Bryan Rust (2 G), 2. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ville Koivunen (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    B. Rust2 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    V. Koivunen2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH1511203220
PITPIT113211214538

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    C. McMichael(26)
    T. Wilson (32)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:08
  2. PIT
    B. Rust(30)
    V. Koivunen (6), M. Grzelcyk (38)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:54

2nd period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(31)PPG
    S. Crosby (58), V. Koivunen (7)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:19
  2. PIT
    S. Crosby(33)
    P. Tomasino (13), C. Dewar (6)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:56
  3. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(44)PPG
    D. Strome (53), P. Dubois (46)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-3
    16:56

3rd period

  1. PIT
    D. Heinen(9)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-4
    8:46
  2. PIT
    P. Tomasino(11)
    R. Rakell (35), M. Grzelcyk (39)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-5
    9:01

Penalties

WSH 4 PIM·PIT 4 PIM

2nd

  • 6:19WSHAndrew Mangiapane · Holding the stickdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 7:56WSHDylan McIlrath · Cross checkingdrawn by Philip Tomasino2 min
  • 15:51PITSidney Crosby · Hookingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min

3rd

  • 6:46PITRickard Rakell · Interferencedrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalWSH goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Danton Heinen, 3rd 8:46 — PIT 79% → 96%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.49E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.30R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.26S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.17P. Tomasino · Goal · xG 0.16B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.15S. Poulin · Missed · xG 0.15D. Heinen · Goal · xG 0.15E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.14S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.14R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.13C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.11V. Koivunen · Missed · xG 0.10R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.09B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.08E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.08P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.07P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.07P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.06V. Koivunen · Missed · xG 0.05B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.05V. Koivunen · On goal · xG 0.04V. Koivunen · On goal · xG 0.04V. Puustinen · On goal · xG 0.04D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.03B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.03E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.03C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.03R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.03J. Koppanen · Missed · xG 0.03C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.02C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02J. Koppanen · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02V. Ponomarev · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01V. Ponomarev · On goal · xG 0.01D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.01P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01S. Poulin · On goal · xG 0.00V. Kolyachonok · On goal · xG 0.00R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.00E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT5 G · 3.6 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsPIT
1.82 G
All situations
5 G3.6
1.51 G
Even strength
3 G2.9
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH20%80%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.78 – 3.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsPIT
20
Shots on goal
38
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
24
20
Blocked shots
8
15
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000-120.15210—25:22
57T. van RiemsdykD000-210.02010—24:22
38R. SandinD000-210.02030—23:46
27A. AlexeyevD000020.02220—23:30
52D. McIlrathD000020.03222—19:56
9R. LeonardR000-110.0601010016:30
26N. DowdC000-100.001105415:27
8A. OvechkinL101-120.21010—15:07
24C. McMichaelL101010.261002514:50
80P. DuboisC011+100.000103614:08
43T. WilsonR011+120.14020—14:07
88A. MangiapaneL000-200.00112—13:53
16T. RaddyshR000-210.08200—13:52
20L. EllerC000-230.191202713:38
17D. StromeC011010.060009113:10
72A. BeauvillierR000-110.461006012:34
22B. DuhaimeL000000.00200—11:34
53E. FrankR000-200.11120—11:14
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Stevenson(L)38335.8683.62-1.3860:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).