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Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals

FinalTV SN-PIT, MNMT·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Aliaksei Protas's goal at 12:08 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.2 to 2.0; shots on goal were PIT 19, WSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Joel Blomqvist stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Logan Thompson stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Aliaksei Protas (1 G, 1 A), 2. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 G, 1 A), 3. Connor McMichael (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Protas1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    P. Dubois1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    C. McMichael2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT080615119
WSHWSH19111212432

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    A. Protas (19), N. Dowd (7)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:42

2nd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.27win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:08

3rd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby (37), R. Rakell (17)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:29
  2. WSH
    P. Dubois(8)PPG
    snapxG 0.15win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:50
  3. WSH
    T. Wilson (15), N. Dowd (8)
    snapxG 0.67Video
    1-4
    18:30

Penalties

PIT 10 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:57WSHBrandon Duhaime · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min

2nd

  • 9:40PITRickard Rakell · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 19:43PITAnthony Beauvillier · Trippingdrawn by Matt Roy2 min
  • 19:43WSHMartin Fehérváry · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 19:43PITMichael Bunting · Roughingdrawn by Matt Roy2 min

3rd

  • 4:21PITMarcus Pettersson · Trippingdrawn by Ethen Frank2 min
  • 7:30WSHAliaksei Protas · Hookingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 15:56PITKris Letang · Trippingdrawn by Connor McMichael2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalPIT goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Aliaksei Protas, 2nd 12:08 — WSH 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Duhaime · Goal · xG 0.67A. Protas · Goal · xG 0.27D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.25T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.25T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.23T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.20T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.19E. Frank · Missed · xG 0.18P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.15P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.15J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.15J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.13T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.12D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.12J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.12J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.11P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.10B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.09T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.07T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.02R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.02T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.00T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.00C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH4 G · 4.2 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsWSH
2.01 G
All situations
3 G4.2
1.21 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.70 G
Power play
1 G1.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT25%75%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 3.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsWSH
19
Shots on goal
32
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
27
14
Blocked shots
17
14
Giveaways
20
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000-130.09000—24:12
58K. LetangD000-100.00422—23:18
28M. PetterssonD000-100.00232—23:13
24M. GrzelcykD000000.01020—18:24
87S. CrosbyC011-240.330205317:58
67R. RakellR011-330.32112—17:35
71E. MalkinC000-120.140102216:32
8M. BuntingL000000.16112—16:24
17B. RustR101-120.30200—16:18
27R. GravesD000000.02100—15:41
13K. HayesR000010.040005815:03
55N. AcciariC000010.211102013:52
72A. BeauvillierR000-100.10202—13:39
10D. O'ConnorL000000.06100—13:38
38O. PickeringD000000.02000—12:47
53P. TomasinoR000000.08100—11:59
19C. GlassC000010.021105711:48
46B. LizotteC000020.050005010:04
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Blomqvist(L)31283.9033.48+0.4859:41

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).