Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Washington Capitals 4-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgeni Malkin's goal at 10:28 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals were close — PIT 3.8, WSH 3.9; shots on goal were PIT 32, WSH 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Joel Blomqvist stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Charlie Lindgren stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Joel Blomqvist (32 saves, .941), 3. Rasmus Sandin (1 G).
Three stars
- ★E. Malkin1 G, 1 A

- ★★J. Blomqvist32 saves, .941

- ★★★R. Sandin1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
1-03:11
2-06:59
2-18:22
2nd period
2-26:04
3rd period
3-210:28
4-219:37
Penalties
1st
- 3:33
Lars Eller · Hookingdrawn by Rasmus Sandin2 min
- 10:29
Matt Roy · Trippingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
- 12:47
Erik Karlsson · Slashingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
3rd
- 12:02
Jakub Vrana · High stickingdrawn by Jack St. Ivany2 min
- 13:22
Valtteri Puustinen · Holdingdrawn by Matt Roy2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Evgeni Malkin, 3rd 10:28 — 48% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.83 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.9
- 1.93 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.8
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 3.78
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 19
- Hits
- 20
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 21
- Giveaways
- 10
- 10
- Takeaways
- 1
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
