Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Washington Capitals beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 8-3. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakob Chychrun's goal at 10:38 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.6 to 3.0; shots on goal were WSH 30, PIT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 8 of 13 (.615), 3.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jakob Chychrun (2 G), 2. Pierre-Luc Dubois (3 A), 3. Martin Fehérváry (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Chychrun2 G

- ★★P. Dubois3 A

- ★★★M. Fehérváry1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
11 goals1st period
1-05:13
1-118:21
2nd period
2-11:10
2-26:36
3-210:38
4-214:17
5-214:25
6-218:05
3rd period
7-213:11
7-314:22
8-317:19
Penalties
1st
- 6:50
Vincent Desharnais · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
- 6:50
Pierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais2 min
- 14:36
Lars Eller · Hookingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min
- 17:04
Jakob Chychrun · Holdingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
3rd
- 2:26
Vincent Desharnais · Holdingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
- 2:59
Kris Letang · High sticking double minordrawn by Dylan Strome4 min
- 12:16
Evgeni Malkin · Holdingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jakob Chychrun, 2nd 10:38 — 47% → 66%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.08 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.6
- 2.07 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.9
- 1.11 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.7
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.02 – 3.51
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 42%
- Faceoffs
- 58%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 1/2
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 21
- Hits
- 15
- 23
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 13
- Giveaways
- 9
- 4
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
