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Canadiens at Senators
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV SN, SN1·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-2. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Cozens's goal at 4:18 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 66% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.4 to 2.2; shots on goal were MTL 22, OTT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.0 goals below expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Shane Pinto (2 G), 2. Ridly Greig (1 G, 1 A), 3. Michael Amadio (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    S. Pinto2 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    R. Greig1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    M. Amadio2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL0521304222
OTTOTT21421119534

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    R. Greig (20), M. Amadio (14)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:28
  2. OTT
    snapxG 0.21win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    4:18

2nd period

  1. OTT
    snapxG 0.15win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    1:05
  2. MTL
    J. Armia (16), J. Struble (11)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-3
    2:26
  3. OTT
    T. Chabot (34), N. Jensen (18)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-4
    14:14
  4. MTL
    wristxG 0.17win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-4
    15:32

3rd period

  1. OTT
    S. Pinto(20)EN
    A. Zub (11)
    wristxG 0.46Video
    2-5
    17:44

Penalties

MTL 13 PIM·OTT 11 PIM

1st

  • 5:51MTLJosh Anderson · Cross checkingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 5:51OTTDavid Perron · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 5:51MTLBrendan Gallagher · Roughingdrawn by David Perron2 min

2nd

  • 8:59OTTTyler Kleven · High stickingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 11:21OTTDrake Batherson · Hookingdrawn by Oliver Kapanen2 min
  • 15:41MTLMichael Pezzetta · Fightingdrawn by Hayden Hodgson5 min
  • 15:41OTTHayden Hodgson · Fightingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta5 min
  • 17:39MTLNick Suzuki · Hookingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min

3rd

  • 2:03MTLPatrik Laine · Holding the stickdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalMTL goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan Cozens, 1st 4:18 — OTT 66% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Pinto · Goal · xG 0.46D. Cozens · Goal · xG 0.21S. Pinto · Goal · xG 0.18D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.17R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.17D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.16R. Greig · Goal · xG 0.15N. Matinpalo · On goal · xG 0.12M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.12R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.12T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.12D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.11H. Hodgson · Missed · xG 0.10T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.09R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.08J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.08D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.07D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.07J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.06D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.06D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.06T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.05T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.05J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.04S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.03T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.03D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.03D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.03T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.02D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.02S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.02T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.02N. Matinpalo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.00J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.00T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.00T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT5 G · 3.4 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsOTT
2.22 G
All situations
4 G3.4
1.42 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL36%64%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 2.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsOTT
22
Shots on goal
34
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/3
13
Penalty minutes
11
21
Hits
18
7
Blocked shots
14
15
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48L. HutsonD000010.21010—25:11
8M. MathesonD000-320.05000—21:58
21K. GuhleD000-100.00300—21:57
14N. SuzukiC101-320.240024319:09
45A. CarrierD000-200.00010—18:36
28C. DvorakC101+110.070006317:26
13C. CaufieldR011-330.20000—17:00
20J. SlafkovskýL011-210.21200—16:23
71J. EvansC000-100.003004116:23
17J. AndersonR000000.04402—15:34
15A. NewhookC000-110.170005015:02
58D. SavardD000-110.06140—14:39
40J. ArmiaR011020.25000—14:00
47J. StrubleD011+120.02200—13:56
11B. GallagherR000000.00402—13:28
92P. LaineL000-140.440025013:18
91O. KapanenC000-110.04010012:29
55M. PezzettaL000+110.1720510007:45
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(L)33294.8792.97-1.0359:46

Season series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).