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Canadiens at Senators
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
▸5
Ottawa Senators
2
FinalTV SNE, TVAS·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Ottawa Senators 5-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Anderson's goal at 5:14 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were MTL 25, OTT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 10 of 15 (.667), 3.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Juraj Slafkovský (1 G), 2. Brendan Gallagher (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nick Suzuki (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Slafkovský1 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    B. Gallagher1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL392808525
OTTOTT2100809227

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    B. Gallagher(15)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:28
  2. MTL
    C. Caufield(27)
    A. Xhekaj (5), D. Savard (11)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:28
  3. OTT
    J. Sanderson(6)PPG
    D. Batherson (30), T. Stützle (40)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:20
  4. OTT
    T. Stützle(18)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    15:54
  5. MTL
    P. Laine(13)PPG
    L. Hutson (39), N. Suzuki (38)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:13

2nd period

  1. MTL
    J. Anderson(9)
    B. Gallagher (10), C. Dvorak (12)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    5:14
  2. MTL
    J. Slafkovský(9)
    N. Suzuki (39), J. Struble (4)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +10 ptsVideo
    5-2
    11:32

Penalties

MTL 13 PIM·OTT 11 PIM

1st

  • 12:33MTLJosh Anderson · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Highmore2 min
  • 16:09OTTCole Reinhardt · Holdingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min

2nd

  • 19:25MTLPatrik Laine · Trippingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min

3rd

  • 2:13OTTserved by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 6:47OTTRidly Greig · Fightingdrawn by Juraj Slafkovský5 min
  • 6:47MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Fightingdrawn by Ridly Greig5 min
  • 9:44OTTCole Reinhardt · Roughingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 9:44MTLKirby Dach · Roughingdrawn by Cole Reinhardt2 min
  • 19:04MTLAlexandre Carrier · Cross checkingdrawn by Matthew Highmore2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalMTL goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Josh Anderson, 2nd 5:14 — MTL 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.26D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.19C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.18A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.15D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.14C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.14T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.13C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.09R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.08D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.07T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.07R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.07J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.07C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.07D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Sanderson · Goal · xG 0.07T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.06M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Ostapchuk · On goal · xG 0.06D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.05R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.05T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.05A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.04D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.04T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.03A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.02D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.02D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01C. Reinhardt · Missed · xG 0.01C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Matinpalo · Missed · xG 0.01N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kleven · Missed · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.00J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 2.8 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsOTT
2.45 G
All situations
2 G2.8
2.04 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL43%57%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 2.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsOTT
25
Shots on goal
27
33%
Faceoffs
67%
1/2
Power play
1/3
13
Penalty minutes
11
39
Hits
40
11
Blocked shots
17
12
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000010.07040—23:28
45A. CarrierD000010.01042—21:30
48L. HutsonD011+210.13000—19:26
47J. StrubleD011+210.03300—18:35
58D. SavardD011+110.03110—17:52
72A. XhekajD011+100.02300—17:14
28C. DvorakC011+220.011003116:29
13C. CaufieldR101+120.39010—16:26
14N. SuzukiC022+110.041103216:15
71J. EvansC000020.184004016:05
20J. SlafkovskýL101+150.36805—15:25
15A. NewhookC000010.112003815:09
17J. AndersonR101+210.34302—14:32
40J. ArmiaR000010.161003314:19
77K. DachC000000.003022513:43
92P. LaineL101020.16202—13:04
11B. GallagherR112+230.28300—12:29
51E. HeinemanL000000.04400—12:16
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(W)27252.9262.76+0.7660:00

Season series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).