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Senators at Canadiens
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
3
Montréal Canadiens
▸6
FinalTV TSN2, TSN5·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Ottawa Senators 6-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Senators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Suzuki's goal at 15:23 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 54% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 4.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were OTT 25, MTL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 0.9 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Josh Anderson (2 G), 2. Nick Suzuki (1 G), 3. Christian Dvorak (1 G, 3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Anderson2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    C. Dvorak1 G, 3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT1111915325
MTLMTL1908516633

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    C. Dvorak(8)
    B. Gallagher (11), D. Savard (13)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:07
  2. OTT
    D. Batherson(19)
    D. Cozens (23)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:42

2nd period

  1. OTT
    M. Amadio(10)
    T. Hamonic (4), C. Giroux (30)
    snapxG 0.47win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:38

3rd period

  1. MTL
    L. Hutson(5)
    J. Evans (18)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-2
    3:38
  2. OTT
    T. Hamonic(1)
    D. Perron (6), T. Kleven (3)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +29 ptsVideo
    3-2
    6:13
  3. MTL
    J. Anderson(11)
    A. Carrier (18), C. Dvorak (15)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +33 ptsVideo
    3-3
    10:22
  4. MTL
    N. Suzuki(21)PPG
    B. Gallagher (12), E. Heineman (8)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +37 ptsVideo
    3-4
    15:23
  5. MTL
    J. Anderson(12)EN
    C. Dvorak (16), J. Evans (19)
    snapxG 0.58win prob +4 ptsVideo
    3-5
    18:16
  6. MTL
    B. Gallagher(16)EN
    C. Dvorak (17), A. Carrier (19)
    backhandxG 0.84Video
    3-6
    19:01

Penalties

OTT 8 PIM·MTL 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:46MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Holdingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 8:08OTTFabian Zetterlund · Hookingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min

2nd

  • 3:06MTLArber Xhekaj · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:50OTTDrake Batherson · Boardingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
  • 11:43MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Holdingdrawn by Artem Zub2 min
  • 15:56OTTArtem Zub · Trippingdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min

3rd

  • 13:24OTTShane Pinto · Trippingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalOTT goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Suzuki, 3rd 15:23 — MTL 54% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Gallagher · Goal · xG 0.84J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.58C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.24J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.24P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.18A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.17C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.15E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.13J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.13J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.13J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.12N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.12J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.11J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.11N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.10J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.08J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.08B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.08N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.08M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.06P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.06J. Roy · On goal · xG 0.06A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.05J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.05J. Roy · On goal · xG 0.05J. Roy · Missed · xG 0.05P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.04N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.04E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.04L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.03C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.03L. Hutson · Goal · xG 0.03J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.03A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.02A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.01C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.01A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.00C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.00J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL6 G · 4.5 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsMTL
2.23 G
All situations
4 G4.5
1.53 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.70 G
Power play
1 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT35%65%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.18 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsMTL
25
Shots on goal
33
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
29
12
Blocked shots
10
9
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000-220.01010—24:49
72T. ChabotD000020.03010—23:08
2A. ZubD000000.03022—19:21
71R. GreigC000-110.061107518:34
18T. StützleC000-200.001006718:16
23T. HamonicD112+140.09220—18:02
28C. GirouxR011-110.230008817:24
12S. PintoC000-120.221024517:14
19D. BathersonR101-320.34202—17:03
7B. TkachukL000-260.400008016:38
24D. CozensC011-330.293004715:43
43T. KlevenD011000.00110—15:36
33N. MatinpaloD000-100.00100—14:45
57D. PerronL011000.00210—13:46
22M. AmadioR101010.47210—12:52
15M. HighmoreC000000.00110010:52
20F. ZetterlundL000+110.02012—10:35
81A. GaudetteR000+100.020005008:54
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(L)31274.8713.07-0.9358:29

Season series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).