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Senators at Canadiens
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
1
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
FinalTV SNE, SN1·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Ottawa Senators 4-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Caufield's goal at 15:03 of the first period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.8 to 1.8; shots on goal were OTT 25, MTL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.7 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (2 G), 2. Lane Hutson (2 A), 3. Kaiden Guhle (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Caufield2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    L. Hutson2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    K. Guhle1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT0401219125
MTLMTL2704215426

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    E. Heineman(1)PPG
    C. Dvorak (1), L. Hutson (3)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:37
  2. MTL
    C. Caufield(3)
    M. Matheson (1), J. Slafkovský (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:03

3rd period

  1. MTL
    A. Newhook(1)
    L. Hutson (4), K. Guhle (3)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-3
    3:50
  2. OTT
    T. Stützle(3)
    B. Tkachuk (2), N. Jensen (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    5:30
  3. MTL
    C. Caufield(4)
    N. Suzuki (1), J. Slafkovský (3)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-4
    7:43

Penalties

OTT 10 PIM·MTL 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:39MTLLane Hutson · Holdingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 8:38OTTBrady Tkachuk · Elbowingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 12:22OTTArtem Zub · Cross checkingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 16:04MTLJustin Barron · Interferencedrawn by Zack MacEwen2 min

2nd

  • 3:24MTLEmil Heineman · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Kleven2 min
  • 3:24OTTTyler Kleven · Cross checkingdrawn by Emil Heineman2 min
  • 10:33MTLJosh Anderson · Trippingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min

3rd

  • 1:29OTTBrady Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Alex Newhook2 min
  • 2:00OTTJake Sanderson · Ps tripping on breakawaydrawn by Mike Matheson0 min
  • 8:37OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:30MTLJosh Anderson · Cross checkingdrawn by Artem Zub2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalOTT goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Cole Caufield, 1st 15:03 — MTL 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.49M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.27E. Heineman · Goal · xG 0.20N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.15O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.14N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.14J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.14J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.13K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.11E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.11C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.11J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.08B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.08A. Newhook · Goal · xG 0.08J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.07N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.07K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.06K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.05K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.04J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.04C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.03C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.03J. Barron · Missed · xG 0.02L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.01K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.00K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.00J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL4 G · 2.8 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsMTL
1.81 G
All situations
4 G2.8
1.11 G
Even strength
3 G1.2
0.70 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT40%60%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.78 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsMTL
25
Shots on goal
26
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/4
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
20
Hits
21
11
Blocked shots
22
16
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000010.08140—27:36
72T. ChabotD000-240.09100—23:36
9J. NorrisC000-100.131105320:25
18T. StützleC101-120.08200019:56
12S. PintoC000030.320005019:37
7B. TkachukL011-210.04204—18:38
3N. JensenD011-220.07210—18:30
2A. ZubD000010.01112—18:02
28C. GirouxR000-100.030006316:18
57D. PerronL000010.11300—16:12
19D. BathersonR000010.2510010015:51
22M. AmadioR000020.2600010014:23
73N. GregorL000030.23310—13:59
71R. GreigC000-100.000005012:59
23T. HamonicD000010.01110—12:09
43T. KlevenD000020.06012—10:57
21N. CousinsC000000.00100008:51
17Z. MacEwenR000010.02110—05:41
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(L)26224.8462.29-1.7156:21

Season series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).