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Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV SN-PIT, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Garnet Hathaway's goal at 12:26 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.9 to 1.5; shots on goal were PIT 33, PHI 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Joel Blomqvist stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.5 goals below expected; Samuel Ersson stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Samuel Ersson (31 saves, .939), 2. Scott Laughton (1 G), 3. Andrei Kuzmenko (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    S. Ersson31 saves, .939
  2. ★★
    PHI
    S. Laughton1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    A. Kuzmenko1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT010111112233
PHIPHI1217111320

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:44

2nd period

  1. PIT
    snapxG 0.04win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:19
  2. PHI
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:26

3rd period

  1. PHI
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:27
  2. PIT
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-3
    5:42

Penalties

PIT 2 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:44PHISean Couturier · Trippingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min

3rd

  • 12:19PITBlake Lizotte · High stickingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 13:46PHIJamie Drysdale · Holdingdrawn by Danton Heinen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalPIT goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Garnet Hathaway, 2nd 12:26 — PHI 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Gaucher · Missed · xG 0.20G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.13S. Laughton · Goal · xG 0.12M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.10S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.10S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.07C. York · Missed · xG 0.06B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.06G. Hathaway · Goal · xG 0.06M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.06E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.05N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.04T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.04M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.04T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.03C. York · On goal · xG 0.03N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03E. Andrae · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.02T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.01C. York · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.01M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.00T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 1.5 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsPHI
3.92 G
All situations
3 G1.5
2.92 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT85%15%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.70 – 1.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsPHI
33
Shots on goal
20
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
18
16
Blocked shots
34
13
Giveaways
21
10
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD101040.08030—25:03
58K. LetangD000-230.15010—23:16
67R. RakellR011+120.08110—20:28
13K. HayesR011+240.932102520:16
24M. GrzelcykD011+100.01000—20:00
72A. BeauvillierR101+190.834105019:15
8M. BuntingL000020.36020—18:41
73P. JosephD000-100.01110—17:41
27R. GravesD000010.03030—16:42
7V. DesharnaisD000000.03020—16:22
43D. HeinenL011+130.69100—15:28
46B. LizotteC000-200.000126714:35
19C. GlassC000010.111003613:30
55N. AcciariC000-220.432006313:02
53P. TomasinoR000-100.00000—12:44
52E. BemstromC000-110.06000011:48
83M. NietoL000-110.13300—11:35
11V. PonomarevC000-100.000002009:16
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Blomqvist(L)20173.8501.51-1.4958:18

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).